Welcome to the week 14 Official NFL Power Rankings! With circus catches and beatdowns alongside great games, there was plenty to discuss even before a MNF Scorigami that might already be airing on ESPN classic. 32/32 Reporting

#	Team	Δ	Record	Comment
1.	Chiefs	--	12-1	The Dolphins gave the Chiefs all they could handle in the first quarter of Sunday's game, but the Chiefs once again proved that when they are focused, they are the most dangerous team in the NFL. Travis Kelce, the NFL's leading receiver currently, had another monster game showing why he's a future hall of famer. However, after having five 10+ point wins in the first eight weeks of the season, the Chiefs last five wins have all been won by one score. Will this trend ultimately matter come playoff time? It's hard to argue with results, as the Chiefs 12-1 record is the best record through 13 games in franchise history. The ultimate barometer for the Chiefs is this week as they travel to play the Saints, hopefully with Drew Brees. Many questions will be answered in this clash of two top five teams.
2.	Packers	+2	10-3	There always seems to be one Lions-Packer game a year that ends up being some kind of adventure. Rodgers and Adams were as good as ever but the Lions kept on lingering throughout the game. Mason "Silver Fox" Crosby nailed an insurance 58 yard field goal with 3:30 to play and made a touchdown-saving tackle on the immediate kickoff. Aside from Crosby, the special teams really leave a lot to be desired, especially after the hands team almost allowed a onside kick recovery (c'mon y'all I don't need Bostic flashbacks). Packers officially won the division game and are now the projected 1 seed, which is pretty neat ngl. Onto a Saturday game I guess?
3.	Bills	+2	10-3	For a team that was searching desperately in 2019 for a signature win, the 2020 Bills have found them everywhere they turn. This team has had one of the toughest schedules in the league, but except for a couple games they've shown up every time they've had to. This is the second-best team in the conference. The Bills bandwagons are circling now. Josh Allen's extending his baseball glove-sized hand. He says "get in nerds, we're goin' to the Super Bowl."
4.	Saints	-1	10-3	This loss = Hurts. Dennis Allen seemingly had no answers for the rookie QB and then Miles Sanders piled on as well. "All the things we didn't want to allow happen, happened in that game." This was Sean Payton's post-game assessment and it's fair. Taysom Hill had an acceptable statline but it hides how sloppy he looked on the field. The defense struggled with its assignment to contain Hurts and keep him from getting outside the pocket - a worrying sign considering the next QB on the schedule.
5.	Steelers	-3	11-2	The Steelers schedule has been insane. 6 days between NYG and DEN. 14 days between HOU and PHI. 10 days between JAX and BAL. But with that BAL game, the Steelers played them, WFT and BUF in 12 days. 3 games in 12 days. The team is out of LBs and OL. This has been a challenging season for everyone, but this is unprecedented. The Steelers have 8 days until CIN, then 6 days until IND. 10 out of 16 games played with an irregular schedule? You can argue the drops are kicking their ass, but this schedule has been brutal. No wonder they've lost 2 straight.
6.	Rams	--	9-4	Imagine only scoring 3 points in a game.
7.	Colts	+1	9-4	Kenny Moore is a player underrated by national media but massively valuable to the Colts. GM Chris Ballard made re-signing him a priority after his breakout 2018 season. Moore has been a reliable performer throughout his tenure as a Colt and added an exclamation point with his insane one-handed interception on Sunday.
8.	Titans	+1	9-4	Derrick Henry had his second 200+ yard 2 TD game against the Jaguars on Sunday. The performance made Henry the 7th player to rush for 1,500+ yards and 14+ TDs through 13 games.
9.	Seahawks	+1	9-4	Nothing cures ~~suicidal thoughts~~ losing like playing the Jets, baby. Sunday was never much of a game, as it was all Seahawks all day. Russell Wilson threw for 4 touchdowns, Jamal Adams broke the single season sack record for defensive backs, and Geno Smith got to play a full quarter against the team that drafted him. What a way to get over a bad loss to the Giants. Up next the Seahawks will take on their final NFC East opponent of the season; Football Team.
10.	Ravens	+2	8-5	This ranker is a brown man, writing about how Lamar Jackson lost 20 pounds dropping some brown, dropping a TD to Brown, to go ahead against the Browns. They go for two. So in response, K-hunt ties the game, 42-42. In response, the Llama sets up the GOAT to nail a 54-yarder, 16th game winner of his career! To say nothing else of the game -- 9 total fucking rushing touchdowns, tying a record held since two defunct teams played each other before anyone on reddit was born... and Jackson runs for a MNF QB record 124 yards -- but still gets all the clutch plays done with his arm, with this middling group of receivers. The even greater news amidst all this is that the schedule doesn't look so bad in the closing stretch, and inspired play like this past Monday from the offense will ease the burden of the Ravens' gradually depleting secondary. Best wishes to Trace McSorely who made an extremely commendable effort to set them up for Lamar's return.
11.	Browns	-4	9-4	Did you bet the over? The Browns and Ravens combined for 89 points in an absolute rollercoaster of a game. While they did not win, the Browns have shown they are contenders. With two games to go a real shot at the playoffs is on the table. The Browns will face the Giants in another prime time game.
12.	Buccaneers	-1	8-5	The Buccaneers pulled off a 26-14 win over the Vikings, bringing their playoff chances to 94%. Vikes kicker Dan Bailey channeled his inner Gary Anderson to win the Bucs' game ball on an 0/3 kicking performance with an additional missed XP. Rookie Antoine Winfield Jr. played a disruptive game against his dad's former team and is looking like he has the potential to be one of the league's next great safeties. With only interim coaches to close out the remaining three games of the season, the Bucs should have smooth sailing into the Wild Card round.
13.	Dolphins	--	8-5	There are no consolation prizes in the NFL, but a single score loss to the best team in the league while the backup waterboy is lining up in the slot is about as close to a one as you'll ever get. While he was able to pull off the win, even Patrick Mahomes couldn't keep this ball-hawking defense from getting a hold of the ball, often. And at some point, if people don't start talking about Xavien Howard in the DPOY conversation, he's just going to go intercept the damned award himself. Hopefully, the long, long list of injured Dolphins get well soon.
14.	Cardinals	+1	7-6	A monster day from Haason Reddick and the defense finally put the Cardinals back on the winning track. Breaking a franchise record with 5 sacks was one thing, but getting all the turnovers was huge. Hopefully the offense feeds off of it and has a good week in preparing for a big game with Philly that has huge playoff implications. It will take a complete team effort to beat Philly with Jalen Hurts starting fresh of a win against the Saints.
15.	Raiders	-1	7-6	The Raiders looked really bad against the Colts, just like they have for the better part of the last 6 weeks. Luckily Gruden finally made the call to fire Pauly G, something fans have been calling for for the past 2 seasons. Only time will tell if it's too little, too late. Every game from here on out is a must win if the Raiders want to make the playoffs.
16.	Washington FT	+3	6-7	Washington is finding ways to win instead of finding ways to lose. The offense was not able to score a TD so the defense went ahead and spotted them 14 points. Chase Young notches his first TD and continues to prove his worth as the 2nd overall pick as a game wrecker.
17.	Vikings	--	6-7	Dalvin Cook became the first back to rush for over 100 yards against the Bucs in over 20 games, but the Vikings were unable to convert long drives into points as Dan Bailey went 0/4 on field goals and extra points. Couple that with some questionable officiating, the Vikings' banged up front seven generating zero pressure on Tom Brady and plenty of self-inflicted wounds and it all adds up to a real tough loss that knocks the Vikings down from wild card favorites to playoff long shots.
18.	Bears	+5	6-7	The Bears finally snapped their six-game losing streak by rolling over the Texans without much difficulty. Trubisky attempted one throw longer than 20 yards.
19.	Patriots	-3	6-7	Los Angeles, is a land of contrasts - In a span of four days the Patriots' hopes for a postseason were revived and then unceremoniously squashed. Run Defense, Offensive Line, Cam and the Receivers, There just are too many holes to cover up with week to week coaching, this team needs some reworking over the offseason. The Pats end the season with the division as always, lets hope to fuck someone’s season or seeding up. And also the Jets.
20.	49ers	-2	5-8	The 49ers defense did their job, holding the Washington offense to a total of 9 points, but the offense had two takeaways brought back for touchdowns and could not recover. The team looks to right the ship this week against the Cowboys.
21.	Broncos	+5	5-8	Drew Lock put up the third-highest passer rating in team history — behind a couple guys you may know. In the battle of 4-8's, the Broncos somehow managed to not blow a sizeable fourth-quarter lead and emerge victorious. Winning the game but losing The Hunt for a Better Draft Pick. Will the team remain in purgatory? Stay tuned.
22.	Giants	-2	5-8	It’s a real joy to watch the rest of the teams in the up-for-grabs NFC East secure wins, with one being against a top-5 team, all while watching your team play so poorly they start setting franchise records. At least we can say the hype was fun while it lasted, right?
23.	Falcons	-1	4-9	Outplayed by a team whose most impressive win is a tossup between the Bengals, Jaguars, and Jets? Check. Outcoached by special teams ace Anthony Lynn? Check. Ten point lead blown, two interceptions with under five minutes left, double check. Good thing age is just a number for the 32nd youngest team in the league.
24.	Panthers	-3	4-9	I'm not sure where the Panthers go from here. Coach Rhule has said that he isn't going to do the team and fans a disservice by beginning to evaluate players, which means that we're going to see more of Teddy Bridgewater (who is 0-7 in one score games this season) crumble at the end of the game. Playing at Lambeau in primetime in December is one of the hardest things a team can do, and it's not going to be an easy test for the Panthers, who so far have shown that they can't win close games, nor can they defend the pass (23rd in passing defense). It's going to be tough sledding, but hopefully Jeremy Chinn can continue his torrid pace and run his way into DROY.
25.	Eagles	+3	4-8-1	Jalen Hurts delivered the spark the Eagles needed to upset the Saints and spread 'quarterback controversy' all over the city of brotherly love. While the season remains a disappointment, the dual running threat of Hurts and Sanders could be interesting to watch going forward, and the NFC Least remains wide-open with 2 divisional games left on the 2020 menu.
26.	Lions	-1	5-8	Even with a loss, Interim HC Darrell Bevell showed that his Lions are here to compete. This game was never out of hands, and the Lions kept it close the entire time. There are still plenty of woes on Defense, but the Offense continued to ball out as expected. With two TD's coming from the run game (Swift and Kerryon), there is already something to look forward to next year. Lately the team has been able to trust the run on short yardage and redzone carries and it has helped the team with consistency in the red zone. Unfortunately, Aaron Rodgers is a QB that can carve up a weak secondary... so that didn't go great. There's around a 1% chance of the Lions getting a playoff spot, not unheard of, but it'll be tough if Stafford's injury progresses and we lose him for the season. #DefendTheDen
27.	Chargers	--	4-9	First of all, props to Falcons Twitter for this gem before the game, and it played out exactly as expected. Both teams did their best to try giving it away at the end, but the Chargers ended up on the winning side this time around. The Chargers had their hiccups again but there were improvements across the board; Justin Herbert's 81.8% completion percentage is his highest of the season, the defense came away with 3 INTs, and special teams probably had their best day. The Chargers get a short week before a Thursday Night tilt in Las Vegas.
28.	Texans	-4	4-9	The Texans are lucky that Paxton is the Texas AG, otherwise they would have had the biggest blowout loss in the state this past week.
29.	Cowboys	--	4-9	The Red Rifle won his revenge game, the defense forced multiple turnovers, and the Bengals were held to 3.4 yards per carry. All that, and the Cowboys still come out of the week with a top 5 draft pick. Honestly, Sunday couldn't have gone better. Now, the only question is whether this was the team turning the corner and the beginning of a strong finish to the season, or this was just a perfect moment of the Cowboys finding a shittier team with serious injuries issues and just doing what should happen in that scenario.
30.	Bengals	--	2-10-1	Giovani Bernard hadn't fumbled since 2013 before his 1st quarter fumble on Sunday. So what does he get for his troubles? A spot on the bench thanks to Zac Taylor. Giovani was one of the only veterans who spoke out in behalf of Taylor and the current coaches when multiple articles were released with "sources" saying that Taylor had lost the locker room last month. You have to question the benching for multiple reasons as the directionless Bengals continue to flounder to blowout losses. Just another reason why this should be Zac Taylor's last season as head coach in Cincinnati.
31.	Jaguars	--	1-12	This one felt more as expected. Perhaps it was in former GM Dave Caldwell's plans— no, wait, hear me out. Adjusting tinfoil hat; Based on the moves taken this offseason to seemingly dump talent from the Jaguars in attempt to amass more draft picks, perhaps the former front office of the Jaguars were banking on this season not being played, due to pandemic reasons. Sure, this may sound farfetched, but I'd like to hear a more reasonable explanation for fielding such a disaster as this team, this season.
32.	Jets	--	0-13	The Jets have now scored on 7 consecutive opening drives, the longest streak in the NFL. After climbing to an early 3-0 lead, I watched Peter Sawkins make an excellent cranachan custard slice on The Great British Bake Off.

[ Removed by reddit in response to a copyright notice. ]

The Denver Broncos will look to snap their two-game losing streak to start the season against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sunday at Empower Field at Mile High (2:25 p.m. MDT kickoff). The Broncos will be hosting approximately 5,700 fans as the team opens the stadium’s doors to Broncos Country for the first time this season.
Game Previews

Buccaneers vs. Broncos Preview: All eyes on the quarterback position | Broncos Weekend - Video
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Denver Broncos | Week 3 NFL Game Preview - Video
Team Stats Comparison - Article
Mile High Roundtable: Broncos vs Bucs | Week 3 | Predictions and Picks - Article
Broncos vs. Buccaneers Week 3 picks, odds: Point spread, total, player props and betting trends - Article
Broncos vs. Buccaneers score predictions: Everyone counting out Denver in Week 3 - Article
Can Broncos maintain exclusive status against Tom Brady? | Ready for Kickoff - Video

TV/Radio - TV Broadcast Map

FOX: Adam Amin, Mark Schlereth and Lindsay Czarniak
Local Radio (KOA - 850 AM/94.1 FM and The Fox - 103.5 FM): Dave Logan, Rick Lewis and Susie Wargin

Game Notes

Line: TB -5.5 · O/U: 42.5
Weather: Partly Sunny, 57°F at kickoff
The Broncos have won four consecutive games against Tampa Bay (2004-present) and own a 7-2 (.778) all-time regular-season record against the Buccaneers.
Denver owns a 9-8 all-time overall record and 6-7 regular-season record against Tom Brady. Denver is the only NFL team with an overall winning record against Brady.
Broncos own a 7-4 overall record at home against Brady, and has defeated his team three times in the AFC playoffs, including twice in AFC Championship Games (2013, ‘15).
Jeff Driskel is expected to make his first start with the Broncos on Sunday. In relief of the injured Drew Lock in Week 2, Driskel nearly completed a Broncos comeback, connecting on 18-of-34 passes (52.9%) for 256 yards with two touchdowns and one interception (84.9 rtg.)
Driskel joined John McCormick (1966) as the only two QBs in Broncos history to throw for at least 250 yards and multiple touchdowns in a game they didn’t start.
Noah Fant, who has a touchdown in each of the team’s first two games, ranks fifth in the NFL among tight ends with 138 receiving yards through two weeks.
Fant needs one TD reception to match Demaryius Thomas (6) for the second-most TD catches in team history through his first 19 games. Also needs one receiving TD to be the first Broncos TE to record at least one receiving TD in three consecutive games since Julius Thomas.
Jerry Jeudy has made eight catches for 118 yards (14.8 avg.) through his first two games. His 118 yards rank third in the NFL among first-year pass catchers.
The Broncos have played in 11 one-score games, tied for the seventh-most such games played in the NFL since the start of 2019. In games decided by 8 points or less, including both of the team’s losses to Tennessee and Pittsburgh this season, Denver is 4-7 (.364).
Melvin Gordon has tallied 148 rushing yards on 34 attempts this season, 124 more than the Broncos' next-leading rusher (Phillip Lindsay, 24). Gordon also has five receptions and has accounted for 41.9 percent of the Broncos' touches this season, fifth highest in the NFL.
Melvin Gordon needs one scrimmage touchdown (rush or rec.) to become the fifth active running back with 50 combined scores.
The Broncos 2020 rookie class has combined to play 601 total snaps—the second most in the NFL—through Week 2.

Team News/Injury Report - Final Injury Report

Broncos sign QB Blake Bortles, make two other roster moves - Article
Injury Report: Phillip Lindsay returns to practice, doubtful to play in #TBvsDEN - Article
Broncos promote QB Brett Rypien, DL DeShawn Williams to active roster - Article
Injury Report: Mark Barron, DeMarcus Walker could be activated off IR later this season - Article
Injury Report: Courtland Sutton to miss remainder of 2020 season, Drew Lock out multiple weeks - Article
Broncos place Courtland Sutton, Dre'Mont Jones on injured reserve - Article
A guide to attending a game at Empower Field at Mile High under COVID-19 precautions - Article
A closer look at Empower Field at Mile High’s COVID protocols - Video
'I just have to do better': HC Vic Fangio pledges to improve commitment to wearing face covering on sideline - Article

Last Meeting

The Broncos and Buccaneers last met on October 2, 2016 at Raymond James Stadium - Box Score
Paxton Lynch made his NFL debut sooner than expected Sunday, stepping in for injured starter Trevor Siemian to help the Broncos remain unbeaten with a 27-7 victory over the Buccaneers - Recap
2016 Broncos vs. Buccaneers Game Highlights

Notable Team Connections

Buccaneers OLB Shaquil Barrett spent his first four NFL seasons with the Broncos (2015-18), appeared in 64 career games and was a member of Denver’s Super Bowl 50 team.

Please check back throughout the week as I’ll update the news/injury report daily.

Welcome to the reveal for players ranked 20-11 for this year’s NFL Top 100 Players for the 2019 Season!

Players whose average rank had them land in places 20-11 are on this portion of the list revealed today. Players are associated with the team they finished 2019 with.
Below you will see write-ups from rankers summarizing the players' 2019 season and why they were among the best in 2019. Stats for each player are from this season and are included below. Additionally, their previous ranks in this long running series are also available for all of you.
Methodology
LINK TO THE HUB POST WITH A MORE DETAILED DESCRIPTION OF THE METHODOLOGY

A CALL FOR RANKERS just after the Super Bowl.
Rankers for each team nominated players to rank. 10 Games Played Minimum Threshold. Players are associated with the team they finished the 2019 Season with.
The Grind. Utilize ranking threads for individual rankers broken up by positional group. Users were tasked with ranking players within the following tiers based on their evaluation: T-25, T-50, T-100, T-125 based on 2019 regular season only. There were no individual case threads. There were no arbitrary position limit caps. Just questions and rankings.
Users submitted their individual Top 125 list. Ranking out to 125 is new for this year.
User lists were reviewed for outliers by me with assistance from two former rankers. Users were permitted to correct any mistakes found. Once complete, lists were locked.
Reveal the list… right now.

So now, without further ado, here are the players ranked 20-11 in the NFL Top 100 Players of the 2019 Season!

#20 - Danielle Hunter - EDGE - Minnesota Vikings

Previous Ranks

2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018
N/A	N/A	N/A	N/R	N/R	N/R	32

Written By: uggsandstarbux
Khalil Mack. Von Miller. JJ Watt. Those are the names that come up when you mention edge players in the NFL over the last half a decade. Yet none have as many sacks as Danielle Hunter in the last two years. Hunter is continually passed over in the conversation of edge rushers. Even among young edge rushers like the Bosa brothers, TJ Watt, Myles Garrett, and Bradley Chubb, Hunter is forgotten. He only received 4 All Pro votes from AP (of a possible 50). He failed to make PFF’s All Pro team. Is it because he wasn’t a 1st round pick? Is it because the Vikings defense was already dominant before his arrival?
Hunter has improved every year he’s gotten into the league (88 pressures this year vs 67 last year vs 55 in 2016). His first couple years in the league, he rotated in behind Everson Griffen and Brian Robinson. Yet he holds the record for most sacks before his 25th birthday and was one of only a handful of players in 2019 with double digit sacks and 15+ TFLs last season. He earned an 89.0 overall grade from PFF and forced 3 fumbles this year.
Beyond the numbers, Hunter is a unit. He came out of LSU as one of the more raw pass rushers in his draft. However, under the tutelage of the mighty Andre Patterson, Hunter has become one of the most athletic, versatile, technical, dominant edge defenders in the game. He can beat you with a pure bull rush, but he can also beat you with his speed and agility. He’s picked up Everson Griffen’s deadly spin move and has the motor to work through double teams. He can win with an inside move, or he can play pure 3T for an entire game (a la vs NO). He’s got a great understanding of the game and is a force to be reckoned with. If you’re placing bets for DPOY in 2020, don’t waste your money on the big name guys like Aaron Donald (+750) or Khalil Mack (+1100). Don’t spend it on young up and comers, lke Nick Bosa (+1300) or TJ Watt (+1500) either. Place it on Danielle Hunter (+2300). He’s going to continue dominating as he gains more recognition and climbs toward stardom.

#19 - Chris Godwin - Wide Receiver - Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Previous Ranks

2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018
N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/R	N/R

Written By: MysticTyph00n
At the beginning of the 2019 NFL season Bruce Arians said:
"I think Chris Godwin is going to be close to a 100-catch guy, especially because I think he can play in the slot,"...."He's never coming off the field."
Bucs fans thought this could be very well true in BA's system, especially with the departure of Desean Jackson which only really left Mike Evans as the only other real target on the team.
The 3rd round pick from Penn State showed up big time this year after having two relatively quiet seasons. Through 13.5 games (missing the final 2.5 due to a hamstring injury) he amassed 86 receptions for 1,333 yards, 9 TDs and only one drop(In fact he's only had 2 drops total in 2018 & 2019)He very well could have gone over 100 receptions , 1,500 yards as well as double digit TDs, but that's just projecting right?
According to PFF he was an absolute monster in the slot with an outstanding 96.5 grade, which shows he can line up anywhere on the field and still produce big time for the Buccaneers.
In 2020, I honestly expect Chris Godwin to have close to the same production, and possibly even better with how much he produces from the slot.
Please don't leave us…

#18 - Quenton Nelson - Offensive Guard - Indianapolis Colts

Previous Ranks

2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018
N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	70

Written By: Zzyzx8
Selecting a guard 6th overall was a bold movie for second year GM Chris Ballard, even one as highly touted as Quenton Nelson. Casual fans hated it, while draft junkies loved it. Two years later, it’s become clear that the pick was a home run. Nelson’s selection single handedly turned around a unit that was largely responsible for a slew of injuries to Andrew Luck into one of the best units. Nelson’s second year was only better, cementing himself as one of the best guards in the league, a true road grader. He spent the past year terrorizing nfl defensive lineman en route to his second pro bowl and all pro selections. Plus, he pulled off what was by far the best touchdown celebration of the season

#17 - Jamal Adams - Strong Safety - New York Jets

Previous Ranks

2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018
N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/R	18

Written By: ~~the_fuzzy_stoner~~ robdog1330
I would just like to start with a moment of silence for the fans of the New York Jets after Jamal Adams recently demanded a trade from that inept organization with a dumpster fire of a coach in Adam Gase.
Anyways, after an incredible sophomore season, Adams has kept up with his awesome play in his third season as one of the NFL's best and most versatile defensive players as well as the clear-cut best player on a football team that somehow won seven games. Adams, also known as President 'Mal, recorded an interception (which was returned 61 yards to the house), 7 passes defended, 11 hurries, and 36 stops, but that's not all! Adams also garnered 6.5 sacks (which is amazing for a DB) and forced two fumbles (like this one he returned to the house on my guy Daniel Jones 😔). With his exceptional play, the star safety was named to the 1st Team All-Pro as well as his second Pro Bowl selection (an honor which none of his other Jets teammates got this year).
What makes Adams so special is that he is exceptional against both the running and passing game. Whether he's with Gang Green or another franchise next year, I'd expect another stellar season out of Jamal Adams in 2020 (assuming there is one) and even as a Giants fan who watched him dominate my team this past season, I really appreciate the guy's play.

#16 - Derrick Henry - Running Back - Tennessee Titans

Previous Ranks

2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018
N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/R	N/R	N/R

Written By: broccolibush42
DERRRRIIIICK HENRY!!!
This part man part tractor was the plow that turned our barren field into a bountiful wheat field full of Nashville Hot Chicken. This beautiful muscly man with a poop rat tail decimated opponents and General Sherman'd the ^{^{^AFC}} South. Totaling at 1540 yards and 16 Touchdowns in 15 games, with 6 coming from a slow start in a Mariota lead offense, he caught fire and dragged his nuts all over teams like the Chargers, Chiefs, Jags, Colts, Texans, Raiders and was showing just absolute dominance on the field. (Sadly we arent able to take the playoffs into account otherwise i'd gush over how he embarrassed a couple of scrub one and done teams).
Henry has this certain tenacity and a godlike level of endurance that just makes him an absolute beast in the 2nd half. He is just able to keep going, and going, and going, until finally, players get tired of it and turn into lead blockers for him. He is extremely hard to tackle to. Take a look at this play against the Chiefs in week 10, guys just bounce off him like he's running through toddlers. Derrick Henry is so hard to tackle that, according to PFF, Henry had over 1200 of his 1540 total yards after contact. Like this dude was getting hit at the line of scrimmage and he is just like, fuck this shit, i aint no dion lewis, and keeps going. How is this guy even real???
Another thing about Henry is his speed! Henry is a 6'3" 240 pound dude running 20+ MPH down the field when he breaks the open one. Like look at this speed he gets vs the Browns in week 1. Or this one against the Jags where he outruns guys and stiff arms the ones who barely managed to keep pace. Speaking of stiff arms, Derrick Henry has one of, if not, the BEST Stiff Arm in the league. If I had to pick a way to die, I think I would like Henry to stiff arm me in the face running at me at 21 miles per hour with this face, because there would be no greater honor to a titans fan than death by Henry. That concludes my Henry jerk fest. Here are some more highlights. ^{^{^{^and}}} ^{^{^{^here}}} ^{^{^{^are}}} ^{^{^{^the}}} ^{^{^{^real}}} ^{^{^{^link.}}}

#15 - Travis Kelce - Tight End - Kansas City Chiefs

Previous Ranks

2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018
N/A	N/R	84	N/R	28	31	13

Written By: DTSportsNow
Travis Kelce was drafted in the 3rd round of the 2013 draft. He wound up missing his rookie season due needing to receive microfracture surgery on his knee over the offseason and dealing with a bone bruise during the season. Since then he's received 4 All-Pro designations and was named to the NFL 2010s All-Decade team. He's also become the 1st TE in NFL history to have 4 straight 1,000+ yard seasons. Not bad considering how his career got started.
In 2019 he finished his 2nd straight season of 1,200+ yards and 3rd straight season leading the league in deep receiving yards by a tight end (274). He finished top 4 in overall TE grade for the 4th straight year (85.1), and was named to his second 2nd-team All-Pro designation. In the Sunday Night Football contest against the Chicago Bears he caught his 500th career reception, becoming the fastest TE in NFL history to reach that mark.
There's no doubt that Kelce is one of the best tight ends in the game, and winding up in the top 20 proves many believe him to be one of the very best players in the league. Since Gronk's decline it's essentially been between him and George Kittle for the top player at the position. He's a key component of what Andy Reid and the Chiefs like to do on offense, even as stacked as the offence is. With a Super Bowl victory and a few records to his name already his legacy will be decided by how long he can keep up his premier play. His partnership with Patrick Mahomes should take him to a locked up Hall of Fame bust.

#14 - Ryan Ramczyk - Offensive Tackle - New Orleans Saints

Previous Ranks

2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018
N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	100	74

Written By: Dahki
In 2017, sb nation wrote an article claiming that Ryan Ramczyk wasn't a first round talent at LT. The site went so far as to say he would benefit from a switch to RT. In short, they ended up nailing that on the head. The three-year vet has spent almost the entirety of his career anchoring the right side of the Saints O-line after being picked at 32 overall, and boy, has it worked out for both the team and the Wisconsin alum.
Ram makes the /nfl top 100 list for two reasons. First, he was really good. Second, we really wanted to hammer in the idea that the Saints O-line as a whole was really good. Most notably, Ram exits the 2019 season with his first first-team all pro, and he was more than deserving of it. Similar to teammate Terron Armstead, Ram refused to allow Brees or Teddy to be touched, giving up no sacks on the season. Even better, Ram kept his QBs almost squeaky clean in the pocket, allowing just one hit on the entire season, good for 2nd best in the league among nominated tackles. And Ram didn't just do well in pass pro; he was PFFs top graded OT when run-blocking, showcasing his power and quickness from his spot. In total, Ram spent the 2019 season as the biggest challenge for opposing D-lines to overcome when facing the Saints.

#13 - Julio Jones - Wide Receiver - Atlanta Falcons

Previous Ranks

2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018
32	93	23	8	2	21	17

Written By: CokeZ3ro
It's a bird, it’s a plane, no it's Jet Jones! In his 9th season Julio continues to be one of the most dominant receivers in the NFL, and the undisputed best player on the team. He’s a force that defenses must give their full attention, and even then he can explode. Even when he doesn’t get the ball, his influence and abilities still shape the play, and better everyone around him. This past offseason Julio agreed to a three-year contract extension worth $66 million, making him the NFL’s highest paid WR, and extending him to 2023. Even though 2019 was a down year statistically, Julio continued to show why the money is worth it. In a “down year” Julio was 2nd in reception yards, 3rd in Yards/Game, and 1st in Scrimmage Yards/Touch, and made his 6th consecutive Pro-Bowl.
But stats can hardly capture the elite combination of athleticism and skill that makes Julio so great. A combination perfectly captured here where Julio is able to jump over the coverage of CB Leodis McKelvin and then tiptoe to complete the coverage on the way down. Later that same game, with the Falcons against the wall, Julio showed that no man can catch him in a 53-yard burst (shoutout to Jake Matthews for the Pancake Block). Julio utilized his route skills to make CB Pierre Desir eat turf before making a 34-yard reception; which likely would have been much more if Ryan didn’t underthrow it. He’s pretty good at catching too, exhibited as reaches over CB Quincy Wilson and manages to hold onto the ball through tackles from Wilson and SS Clayton Geathers to score. Doesn’t matter who you are, Luke Keuchly, Marshon Lattimore, AJ Bouye; doesn’t matter. bUt hE dOEsn’T gET tOUchDoWnS I hear the Fantasy owners say. Watch this and notice how often in the redzone Julio is serving to support his team (blocks, inside presence, taking double defenders), or is just ignored. He’s open more often people realize.
Even in a disappointing season for the Falcons, Julio continues to shine through as one of the NFL’s premiere combos of athleticism and skill. Julio is and will continue to be an absolute force for the offense.

#12 - Chandler Jones - EDGE - Arizona Cardinals

Previous Ranks

2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018
N/R	N/R	N/R	N/R	60	24	100

Written By: Beehay
In my write up of ChanJo last year, I mentioned that the return to the 3/4 (even if it's under Vance Joseph) will be huge for his stats. And boy howdy was it! At 30 years old and after double digit sack totals for 5 straight years, Jones set a career high of sacks at 19 this year. He had 8 Forced Fumbles, 53 Tackles, and 26 QB hits. Most of his stats improved from 2018, some more drastically than others. His pass coverage marginally improved but why the hell would you really want him to cover guys? (Don't say it Niners fans, DON'T SAY IT)
Chandler Jones is the prototype for edge defenders. He is what all other Defensive Coordinators wish they had. Strong, fast, smart, consistent. Here's a guys opinion and a breakdown. Here's some highlights because not everybody watched all 16 Cardinals games last year and I don't blame them. I think he will rank even higher next year if he stays healthy because he will finally get to settle into a defense again. Even if it's Vance Joseph's.

#11 - Ronnie Stanley - Offensive Tackle - Baltimore Ravens

Previous Ranks

2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018
N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/R	N/R	97

Written By: Letsgomountaineers5
Where to begin with Ronnie Stanley? Oh, how about a nearly minute long clip of him absolutely bullying First Team All Pro and NFC DPOY Chandler Jones. You like that? (Sorry Cards fans, but hey we all know Chandler Jones is a beast). Ronnie Stanley was the best LT in the league. No wait, actually he was the best overall tackle in the league. Actually, Stanley was the best lineman in the league, bar none. I truly believe Stanley was a top 5 player in the NFL last season and even tried (and failed/came to senses) to argue Stanley as a top 2 player. His dominance on the left side of that line was unprecedented.
I know stats don’t paint the entire picture, especially for OL, but I have to start there because his stats were unworldly as a blindside protector facing the best pass rushers the NFL has to offer. Going against the likes of TJ Watt twice a year, Carlos Dunlap twice a year, Myles Garrett, Chandler Jones, Nick Bosa, Shaq Barrett (need I go on), he allowed zero sacks and six pressures on 445 pass blocking snaps. Of tackles with at least 400 pass blocking snaps to allow 6 pressures or less, he was the only one. Wait, the only one? Let’s expand. 10 pressures on 400 snaps? Hmm. Only Ronnie Stanley. 15? Hmm only Ronnie Stanley. 20 and no sacks? Only Ronnie Stanley. Unreal.
So how does he do it? Well for starters, he has an elite pass rusher’s explosion as an offensive lineman. He can pack a pop that will knock the best rushers off line or on their ass without overextending. Just ask Nick Bosa. Refer back to the Chandler Jones lowlight reel for a second and check out how often he simply beats Jones (one of the most explosive and best bending edge rushers in the game) to his spot time and time again. Stanley is out of his stance so fast it looks like he’s false starting and, be it film review/sixth sense/sheer athleticism (my money is on all three), he hits the pass rushers’ marks before they do. Sometimes, he even chips defenders to the ground he doesn’t have a responsibility for. Because of these reasons, he’s basically the only lineman in the game not playing catchup and is tremendously equipped to react to counters. In the run game, he was a driving reason behind that team’s record setting running success. He can be a mauler, but with his speed also can pull like the best guards in the game and lead block for some of the fastest players in the game.
At the end of the day, his dominance in both pass blocking and run blocking makes him a worthy top 15 player, and if not for a tendency to underrate linemen, I believe he should’ve been a shoe-in for the top 10. If you read this far, thank you. Now I need to go puke after that glowing endorsement for a Raven.

LINK TO 2019 POSITIONAL GROUPING TRACKER

LINK TO 2019 RANKER SHEETS

LINK TO HUB

Schedule Change

Unveiling of ranks 10-6 will take place Monday, July 6 instead of Tuesday. Unveiling of ranks 5-1 will take place on Thursday, July 9. Thank you!

Make sure you're sitting down, and check for yourself if you don't believe me, but we're already at the double-digit mark for gameweeks in the football season. That's right folks, it's already time for the Week 10 Official nfl Power Rankings! It's amazing how fast time flies; three months ago, training camps were wrapped as teams made their way through the August doldrums of pre-season football. Now look at us! Heck in three months time, not only will we have crowned a new champion, but Antonio Brown might have landed himself a paycheck! Between your prop bets on which prominent fast food chain will be the first to employ Mr. Big Collections, feast your eyes on the following list of teams. As always, these are collated from a representational slice of 32 hopeless gambling degenerates. 31/32 reporting.

#	Team	Δ	Record	Comment
1.	Patriots	+1	8-1	Big run from here on out after the bye, starting with the Eagles. The Patriots needed the R&R to get healthier and to make the adjustments needed in readying for the playoffs.
2.	Ravens	+2	7-2	Lamar Jackson put himself at or near the front of the MVP race as the Ravens offense continues to dominate. Harbaugh and Roman have schemed the NFL's best offense by balancing the league's leading rushing attack with a passing game that uses all three TEs to much aplomb. The defense has moved past their early struggles with the addition of Marcus Peters and the return of Jimmy Smith; it now consistently gets pressure with a blitz heavy scheme.
3.	49ers	-2	8-1	In an instant MNF classic, the Niners dropped their first game of the season. Without his two top receiving threats, Jimmy G looked uncomfortable in the pocket and had trouble throwing anywhere more than five yards downfield. Three turnovers turned into the only three touchdowns by the Seahawks. The defense looked impressive, but the short fields and poor execution by the offense wasted their effort. The team looks to regroup on Sunday in a home match up against the Cardinals.
4.	Seahawks	+1	8-2	Russell Wilson is now 13-3 in his career against ~~Santa Clara~~ "San Francisco" and 8-2 on Monday Night Football, there are no longer any undefeated teams left in the NFL, and John Schneider's trades look like genius moves. Jadeveon Clowney, Jacob Hollister, and Quandre Diggs all played huge roles in this win, and it looks like there's good news on Tyler Lockett's injury as well. Even Jason Myers redeemed himself. Phenomenal game that would have been heartbreaking to lose.
5.	Saints	-2	7-2	The Saints under Sean Payton have always relied on a strong OL platform to run their offensive scheme. The Falcons came in with a plan to disrupt that blocking and reaped the rewards with a decisive win.
6.	Packers	+1	8-2	The Packers got back into the groove with a home win over the Panthers. Turnovers and the fact that the Panthers defense couldn't find any solution for Aaron Jones were the main factors in this one. Aaron Jones splits time with Jamaal Williams, yet he was still exchanging the league lead for TDs with Christian McCaffrey throughout this game. Remember that name: Aaron Jones.
7.	Vikings	+1	7-3	Even in primetime against a team with a winning record, Kirk Cousins continues to put up MVP numbers, and even across from Ezekiel Elliot, there was no doubt who was the best running back on Sunday night.. Danielle Hunter ranks first in the NFL in pressures generated while Everson Griffen ranks third, and though the secondary still struggles in coverage, Eric Kendricks leads all linebackers in pass breakups..
8.	Chiefs	-2	6-4	A triumphant game from the Mahomes-to-Hill combination still left the Chiefs on the wrong end of the scoreline on Sunday. Unfortunately, though the Chiefs are stacked with talent in some parts of the roster, inconsistent play in the trenches threatens to implode this team's playoff hopes.
9.	Texans	--	6-3	Dolphins 16 - 12 Colts
10.	Cowboys	+1	5-4	Like an annual ritual of an ancient cannibalistic tribe, the calls for Jason Garrett’s head have begun - and rightfully so. The inexplicable playcalling, ultra-conservative approach, and complete lack of in-game adjustments are hard to argue with. With a roster of this caliber, it’s hard to find fault in any area greater than the coaching. Heading into a slew of primetime games, the entire nation may get to witness the final fall of Garrett.
11.	Eagles	+3	5-4	The Eagles had a bye week in advance of hosting New England next Sunday.
12.	Rams	-2	5-4	With the season in a shambles, fans can spin the blame-o-meter and be happy with whatever space it lands on. Between McVay, Goff, the O-line, front office trades, and even the refs (at times), there's no shortage of awfulness to go around. It's not like the future is much brighter as the Rams' next first round pick is in 2022. Let the 8-8 McVay era begin.
13.	Bills	-1	6-3	The Bills came into this week playing against the 30th ranked run defense in football. Offensive coordinator and certified genius Brian Daboll proceeded call a mere 13 runs while dialing up more than 40 passes. The highlight was when the offense fought back from 1st-and-25 just to huck a gimmicky, one-read deep ball into double coverage on 3rd-and-4 because Buffalo isn’t allowed to have nice things. As for the two missed field goals that would have given the Bills the win: one supposes that's the football gods' way of making up for the team's win in Tennessee. Buffalo's fate is still in their own hands, but there's a lot to clean up.
14.	Raiders	+2	5-4	Chargers fans call Rivers "Dad", and following his stellar performance (2 ints, 1 TD, and a 3rd int called back) they are calling Erik Harris "Grandpa". After a coming out game for Clellin Ferrell the Raiders are now sitting just half a game back in the AFC west. The last half of the season is going to be fun to watch.
15.	Steelers	+3	5-4	People will talk about Russell Wilson as the MVP because of the impact he has involving other players at the QB position, but isn't it noteworthy when a single defensive player can improve an entire defense himself without directly giving the ball to others? Whatever Minkah Fitzpatrick is, it's by far the biggest impact on the Steelers this year and the sole reason they have risen from mediocrity to respectability. Fans expect Lamar Jackson and Russell Wilson to change the face of an entire game (and they do), but there are a handful of defensive players every generation who do it, and it's usually a solo effort like Junior Seau. They don't often make everyone else better as well. If the Steelers actually turn this around and do something, it's because Fitzpatrick keeps it going.
16.	Colts	-3	5-4	The wheels are off at this point. But even in the midst of this nightmare season, Colts fans can enjoy the incredible tracts of real estate we own in the minds of the small-team Texans supporters. Even their blurb up the thread only talks about us. Rent free!
17.	Panthers	-2	5-4	News that Cam Newton's season is done has split the Panthers fanbase into two halves. The ones who want to roll with Kyle Allen are directly opposed to those who want Cam back in the fold for 2020. It remains to be seen which way the Panthers' front office will go.
18.	Titans	+4	5-5	The Titans let Patrick Mahomes put up the most passing yards (446) by any QB in Nissan Stadium, but Tennessee was able to survive with a last-second FG block by Joshua Kalu. Derrick Henry continued his success against the Chiefs with 188 rushing yards and 2 TDs. Somehow, Andy Reid is now 1-8 against the Titans.
19.	Bears	+1	4-5	When two bad teams play each other, technically the game must end in a result that changes the record of said teams after 60 minutes of playtime. Those rules were followed on Sunday, and there's not much fans can take away from the game except that it was nice to see the Bears beat a team they should beat. The Lions tried to avenge their loss to backup Chase Daniel last year by playing their own backup, but instead, they just lost. Maybe it was part of a deep state plan to keep Trubisky as starter, as The Onion suggested last weekend!
20.	Chargers	-2	4-6	The major takeaway from this game should not be the supposed decline of Philip Rivers but rather the importance of offensive line play. The Chargers played much of the game with 3 backups on the OL and the unit as a whole played unacceptably bad, allowing a meager Raiders pass rush to tee off on Phil. In comparison, the Raiders' OL had a significantly better game against the Chargers pass rush. At 4-6 with an 0-2 divisional record, the Chargers have their work cut out for them, even if the Chiefs are only two games ahead. The Chargers must beat KC in Mexico City if they want to stay relevant in the postseason hunt.
21.	Lions	-4	3-5-1	Many, perhaps most, Lions fans are ready to boot Patricia and Quinn. Maybe they are right, and it's time. However, it would be hard to argue that the Lions haven't been one of the most injury-affected teams this year, and when fans also consider that all but one loss has been extremely close, it's not so cut and dry. If they can finish strong (unlikely without Matthew, but who knows), it could reestablish some optimism for the future.
22.	Jaguars	-1	4-5	Minshew Mania is over (for now). It's time to give Jason Mendoza what he wants. FOOOOLLLLEEEESSSSSS!
23.	Buccaneers	+2	3-6	Bruce Arians coached with toddler-like petulance, throwing a challenge flag on a DPI he knew he'd lose, followed by a challenge flag he didn't have resulting in another lost timeout. Despite his infantile behavior, the Bucs managed to pull out a narrow victory over the Cardinals, bringing their record to 3-6. Rookies Jamel Dean and Devin White made a number of splash plays and Shaq Barrett continued his DPOY worthy campaign. This team is better than the record shows, but if my mother had wheels, she'd be a bicycle.
24.	Browns	+2	3-6	Relying on your opponent to miss a field goal to win a game is not a viable long term strategy. The Browns won, but it wasn't for lack of effort.
25.	Cardinals	-2	3-6-1	A dropped wide-open touchdown pass, a special teams mistake causing a six-point swing, and an untimely interception were too much for the Cardinals to overcome as they dropped their 3rd straight game. Aside from those mistakes, the defensive play has been absolutely atrocious. Sure, they caused some turnovers, but while the offense has been improving, the defense has been going in the opposite direction with the 2nd-most points and yards given up in the NFL.
26.	Broncos	-2	3-6	Russell Wilson is dummy thicc.
27.	Falcons	+1	2-7	Defensive play calling duties were split between Raheem Morris and Jeff Ulbrich for the first time this season, and what a game it was. Three of Atlanta's six sacks came on third down, which could potentially be a brand new sentence. Vic Beasley hasn't looked this youngry in years, and Drew Brees hasn't EVER scored fewer than double digits in the Superdome. Quinn made a great decision by taking himself out of the equation, falling faster from grace than any other coach in recent memory. Chase Young may be sitting in Flowery Branches' shopping cart at the moment, but no player will ever be good enough to make Atlanta want to lose to New Orleans.
28.	Dolphins	+3	2-7	We're sorry to interrupt your previously scheduled documentary on armored military vehicles, but we've got news of a disturbance going on down in Miami. Pardon me sir, did you see what happened? Oh yes, they call it the streak. They claimed 'nother victory. They're just as proud as can be, of their abilities. They haven't yet peaked!
29.	Jets	+1	2-7	The Jets' front 7 turned in one of their most dominating performances in recent memory by making contact with Saquon Barkley behind the line of scrimmage on almost every rushing attempt. The defensive gameplan forced the Giants' victory to fall squarely on the shoulders of Daniel Jones. Thanks in large part to the President impeaching the ball from him, Jones came up short.
30.	Giants	-3	2-8	The Giants are now officially the #2 team in New Jersey, with Pat Shurmur having now added Adam Gase to his resume of coaches that out-coached him. John Mara is angry, but he might want to take a look in the mirror because he hired the front office team that got us into this position in the first place. Once a beacon of hope and, in all honesty, many fans' sole reason for watching Giants games, Saquon Barkley has not looked anything like his 2018 self this year. If he is truly healthy, as the Giants say he is, one has to wonder what is going on that keeps holding him back game in and game out.
31.	Redskins	-2	1-8	The Redskins named Dwayne Haskins their starting QB for the remainder of the season, and fans are finally going to see the rookie QB get a chance to play and grow. Meanwhile, the race for last place and the first overall draft pick is heating up.
32.	Bengals	--	0-9	If Mike Brown keeps getting rid of his scapegoats (Marvin Lewis, Andy Dalton), people are going to start to realize the real reason the Bengals are bad. He's an incompetent owner.

https://preview.redd.it/rvtksaw21t841.jpg?width=698&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=95f40678737a0b6412efeddec62890674d6b9f4c
NFL Regular Season Betting Recap

Singles 134-141-3 (+12.57u)
Parlays: 9-15 (+85.66u)
Big Boy Daddy Long Shot 0-19 (-19.98u)
Super Big Boy Daddy Long Shot: 0-15 (-7.5u)
Teasers: 7-23 (-39.1u)

Overall Bet Win/Loss: 150-213
Units Win/Loss: +31.65u
ROI: 8.72%

Thoughts: Honestly, I thought this season could have gone much better. Of course I am happy with a positive ROI and almost 9% is great but I want double digit ROIs. There are many lessons that I have learned this year that will go into my adjustments of how I make wagers. I am also grateful to collect a ton of notes from this years regular season that I will use as positive adjustments in my algo for next year. I still have the playoffs to push my ROI into the double digits. NBA was the same, went 2.6% ROI in the REG season, and almost 33% ROI in the playoffs to bring the whole season to double digits. Time to get to work on the NFL playoffs and make this double digi happen!

https://preview.redd.it/mis03ly81t841.jpg?width=810&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=6ca4a87379c6397b507f1ba420b546baaf39f552

Saturday Games (AFC)

Interesting note: Over the last 15 years in the playoffs, the spread didn't matter 82% of the time. If you picked the game winner, they covered over 82%. In the wild card round its 89%!!! Focus on finding the winner.

Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans (-2.5): We have our first game of the weekend and it's the only game where the spread has moved through a key number. This started out as HOU -3 (-3.5 in some spots for a brief opening line) and has moved quickly to settle at -2.5. The other games have moved, but none through a key 3, 4, 6 or 7. My algo has this game as 22.5 BUF to 19.5 HOU. When you add in HFA it pushes this game close to a PK. A huge key for me in this game will be the health of Will Fuller. With him in the offense this year, the Texans are 8-3 and averaged 26 ppg. When he has been out they are 2-3 and average only 19.5 ppg. Houston took week 17 to rest key player. They will look to get a return performance from JJ Watt and hope to have Fuller in to give the offense some depth. Having one less reliable outlet for Watson could be a big piece against a very good Bills pass defense.
On the Buffalo side of the ball they did lose their last game of the regular season, but they were looking ahead to this game, resting most of their key players for the week 17 game. I think this is a prime game for Singletary to show what he brings to the Bills offense as the TEX run D is one of the worst in the playoffs. I will also look to Beasly for a lot of check down and quick slant opportunities.
Obviously most of these games can go either way. With the thought of defense is what wins in the playoffs, I am leaning with the algo and the Bills. I think this is one of the better games to put into a teaser. If you tease the Bills you get the number through the key 3, 4, 6, and 7 numbers. Plus, they Bills have only been defeated by more than a TD one time this season!

Tennessee at New England (-5.5): This is a really fun one to cap. TEN has arguably been one of the best offenses since Tannehill took over. He is 1st in ypa, and passer rating and they have been putting up mad points behind the running game of Henry and the deep balls to AJ Brown who is averaging 20 yards per reception this season. On the flip side of their offensive play is the argument that they really haven't been tested against a good defense. The only decent D that Tannehill has faced since taking over is the road Saints, and that game script was more shootout heavy. The Pats are sporting top defensive numbers and only allow ~20ppg. However, if you dive deeper into those numbers... They went 8-0 in the first half of the season and allowed only 7.5 ppg. Over the last half of the season they are 4-4 and have allowed almost 29ppg!!!
Oh boy...
So, long story short I spent the last hour or so typing up my TEN/NE write up and I didn't notice my laptop became unplugged in the process. It eventually ran out of juice and crashed before I had updated my draft. I am not going to write it all out again, sorry. I will give a TLDR and you will have the bets I make as a guide for this one.
TLDRetype: The weather channel coincidentally named the storm hitting NE tomorrow "Winter Storm Henry" That, the fact that Henry has been a Beast since Tannehill took over, and Draftkings offering an odds boost at 10-1 (from 5.5-1) for anyone to be the first TD scorer, has me looking his way. Edleman has battled some injuries the last month or so and because of that his targets total is at the good price of 5.5. He has been a reliable security blanket for Brady in the playoffs and looks good to return for this game.

Sunday Games

Minnesota at New Orleans (-7.5): Im sorry but after the Minnesota Miracle and then last years no call vs. the Rams....Does anyone else think this is just a year for the NFL to give the glory back to NO and have the lawsuit against them quietly go away??? Seems like a good reason for the Pats to not give a fuck in last weeks game... AGH, OK brain, I know its 3am and half of our article was written and then erased...but lets reign it in and get back to some logic over far fetched conspiracy theories. . .
So I ended up going to sleep there. Probably a good thing, haha.
Back to the game... One of the biggest factors in this game should be the losses of Mackenzie Alexander and Mike Hughes who are both ruled out for this game. This season, Alexander was the best performer of their corners and safetys. The others have been playing below league average. The Vikings do play extremely well vs TEs so that should limit the options for Brees which makes looking at his favorite target all the more appealing. His total is 8.5. This year he has hit 8 or more in 11 out of 16 games. In the 8 games since Brees has returned he has hit that total 5 of those 8. Out of the 3 he missed, one game was by 1 reception, and another game was a week 17 blowout vs. CAR when he wasn't needed but still managed 9 targets.
As for the Vikings props Cook and Theilen have had the most rest recently and if the game script goes in the Saints favor, this could lead to many throwing opportunities for Cousins. Cook when healthy is a beast in all facets of the run game but is a huge help when it comes to the screen game.
Overall, the Saints are wearing their white on white uni's of which they are 5-0 this year. Superstition dictates go with the white. :P ( https://saintswire.usatoday.com/2020/01/03/nfl-playoffs-wild-card-round-saints-vs-vikings-uniform-combination/ )
I will post all my props and picks for this game tomorrow by 2pm.

Seattle at Philadelphia (+1.5): Didn't we just see this a few weeks ago? PHL hosting SEA, the line opened PHL as a slight favorite, moved through 0 and pushed up to almost 3 around game time. Then SEA came out and won 17-9? It's almost the same spot looking at it from the outside, but looking at how some of the available players for both teams have changed we see a potentially different story. First off, in that game SEA didnt do too much offensively. They essentially rode the back of Penny's 129 yards and a TD rushing on only 14 carries. Both Penny and Carson, the backs that the SEA offense has flowed through, are out for the season and the replacements are old or unknown. Dont get me wrong, I LOVE beastmode and want nothing more than for him to go all "put the team on his back" NSFW LINK, LANGUAGE WARNING ( https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gd_Vd43Vxa0 ) But to be honest, hes looking a little pudgy. Who knows, maybe his legs are still machines and his pudge will make him even harder to take down! All in all I think the Eagles D is a better match up for the other back, Homer, who is more reliable as a pass catching back. And to be honest, if SEA wants to win this game, I think they are going to have to unleash Wilson. They are going to have to let him be that special player that makes plays with his legs and his arm. Because of this I will most likely be targeting Lockett, Metcaf and maybe Hollister.
On the PHL side all I am hearing is how they won 4 straight to make the playoffs and no one is giving them credit. Well...they won all 4 of those games against NFC east teams. Essentially the worst division this year and two of those games were against the same team. One of which they had to generate a huuuuge comeback in a game they were heavily favored. Also, they only made the playoffs because someone from each division has to represent...So how much love can we really give them for their 4 straight wins.
So much of this game for the Eagles is going to depend on the injury reports. I am going to end the article here but wait to update tomorrow with injuries and props chosen for this game. Check back @ 2pm on Sunday.
I have 35u of Bonus to use on from Wildcard Reload Promos and Refer-a-friend promos. Most likely won't use all this weekend, they are good for a month.
Post Season Bets
Singles(0-0)

Devin Singletary 85.5 Rush and Rec Yards Over (0.55u to win 0.5u)
Cole Beasley 51.5 Rec Yards Over (1.25u to win 1u)
Josh Allen 34.5 Rush Yards Over (1.1u to win 1u)
Dawson Knox 23.5 Rec Yards Over (1u to win 1.1u)
Derrick Henry to score first TD (1u to win 10u)
Edleman 5.5 Rec Over (1.1u to win 1u)
John Brown & DeAndre Hopkins each to record 80 or more receiving yards & 1 or more receiving touchdowns (2u to win 57u) This is just a fun sweat. I actually think Beasly and Singletary will get more usage and Hopkins will be shadowed by White, but 28.5-1 in a playoff game with both teams number one deep threats seems fun.
A.J. Brown & Julian Edelman each to record 100 or more receiving yards & 1 or more receiving touchdowns (0.99u to win 52.29u) Essentially the same analysis. Fun sweat. Playoff teams. This one I think actually has a slightly better chance even thought the odds are much greater. TEN runs play action as the basis of most of their deep balls. Brown has been on point with that this year. Edelman is Brady's most trusted and longest tenured post season WR. Hey, maybe Brown breaks one for 70 and a TD early, thus allowing Edelman the opportunities to cover late as the Pats come back. Let the sweat begin! :D

Parlays (0-0)

Buf +8.5, NE ml, NO ml, SEA +6 (0u to win 48.73u) FB
NE ml, Beasley 51.5 Rec Yards Over, NO 1H ml, SEA ml (0u to win 31.4u) FB
Allen 34.5 Rush Yards Over, Edelman 64.5 Rec Yards Over, Thomas 8.5 Rec Over, MetCalf 3.5 Rec Over (0u to win 45u) FB

Threw some of the Bonus money on Parlays. Why not start off the playoffs with a big boost! :D
Big Boy Daddy Long Shot (0-0)

Teasers (0-0)

Futures: This is for fun, I don't recommend futures often, especially this late as it's hard to get a good price.

Saints to beat the Chiefs in the SB (1u to win 18u)
Saints to beat the Patriots in the SB (0.5u to win 20u)
Patriots to beat the Saints in SB (0.5u to win 25u)

I'm posting now so it's out with enough time for everyone to read and use. Check back in the comments if you want to follow along gametime parlays I make.

Thanks for reading and good luck to all!! :D

https://preview.redd.it/cvkwsepha0e41.jpg?width=1644&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=bb0f026c8020b51e7b059829a46cc616879281e3
Remember that back in the day, before Trump outragers, America was fun, you used to get NFL Square cards on the back of your case beer, woman only had stiff hair, and gambling was a American tradition, thankfully MyBookie.ag is keeping the tradition and offering football squares!! They've taken a classic sports contest and made it even better. Pick up your squares and win extra cash on your favorite NFL and basketball games every week - Buy Super Bowl Squares - Use promo code "6Clips" for a 50% signup bonus up to $300!
(FEB 02) EXCLUSIVE SUPER BOWL LIV EASY EARLY MONEY NFL PICK - SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS +2 vs KANSAS CITY CHIEFS -2 Betting Preview & Prediction
When: Sunday, February 2 Where: HARD ROCK STADIUM - MIAMI GARDENS, FLORIDA TV: FOX
SUPER BOWL LIV ODDS: Side: SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS +2 vs KANSAS CITY CHIEFS -2 Total**: 55** Chiefs-Niners at Super Bowl LIV - Written by Lester Cullan on January 21, 2020 Vegas sports gambling analyst heard on ESPN Radio, Fox, CBS, Sirius, etc.
Two of this year’s most impressive teams will meet on Sunday, February 2 in Miami Gardens when the San Francisco 49ers face the Kansas City Chiefs at Super Bowl LIV.
Both teams looked strong during the Conference Championships, although the San Francisco (15-3 SU, 11-6-1 ATS) appeared to have a sharper edge, shutting out the Green Bay Packers in the first half before winning 37-20 as 7.5-point home favorites to claim the NFC title.
The Chiefs (14-4 SU, 12-5-1 ATS) made it back to their first Super Bowl in 50 years by beating the Tennessee Titans 35-24, also as 7.5-point home favorites. Kansas City's head coach Andy Reid finally gets another chance to put his name in the record books; at the end of the 2004 campaign, Reid led the Philadelphia Eagles to Super Bowl XXXIX, where they lost 24-21 to the New England Patriots in Jacksonville.
The 49ers head coach Kyle Shanahan is also looking for redemption after coming up short against the Patriots. This is his first Big Game as a head coach, but he was the offensive coordinator for the Atlanta Falcons at Super Bowl LI in Houston, where the Falcons coughed up that big lead and lost 34-28 in overtime.
SF 49er's:

49ers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
49ers are 6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
49ers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
49ers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
49ers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win
49ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

KC Chiefs:

Chiefs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Chiefs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Chiefs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Chiefs are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.
Chiefs are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.
Chiefs are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Chiefs are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Chiefs are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a ATS win.
Chiefs are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game

Game Total - 55

Under is 4-1 in Chiefs last 5 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game
Under is 4-1 in 49ers last 5 playoff games

The betting public is leaning towards a KC win, making the Chiefs a slight favorite and there are not many believers on the San Francisco side of the line, kinda like the public was towards gays in the 90's
Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs might be a slight NFL betting favorite to win Super Bowl LIV, but Jimmy Garoppolo and the San Francisco 49ers are looking like a team that won’t go down quietly – kinda like a gay man.
If you’re looking for reasons to back the Niners then you will be stretching for the few available reasons.
The Kansas City Chiefs have Travis Kelce but the 49ers have a tight end in George Kittle that is touted as the BEST tight end in the game! Kittle has 85 catches for 1,053 yards with 5 TD grabs. The problem is that Kittle has just 4 catches for 35 yards and absolutely no TD's in 2 games.
KC has a passing game that ranked them 5th in the NFL and they score points, also 5th in the NFL averaging 28.2 points a game, but they are horrible running the ball, the Chiefs rank 23rd in rushing and if San Francisco can shut down Pat's passing game they can force them to use that shitty run game!
The San Francisco 49ers finished the regular season ranked 6th in takeaways, 25 of them in all, they picked off Aaron Rodgers 2 times in the NFC Championship which ended up being the difference in their biggest game of the season.
Kansas City not only has a crappy rush game they cant't stop the run, this could be a problem for the betting public, the 49ers have the backs that have been under the radar this year, will this be the X-Factor? Will the rush game determine the winner of Super Bowl 54, running the ball controls the clock and the team that controls the clock wins. The Kansas City Chiefs have plenty of reasons to beat the Niners but can they?
Pick up your Super Bowl Betting Squares at MyBookie.ag and win extra cash the Big Game - Buy Super Bowl Squares
More Super Bowl Props & Futures Predictions available at RedAlertWagers.com

https://preview.redd.it/6z3pm7zaa3v31.jpg?width=1280&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=c0b4ba60258e70d1ea5457bcd2111b890f81fa60
Hi all! We have a wonderful Sunday slate ahead, first lets recap TNF.
Singles: 3-0 (+9.78u)
Parlay: 0-2 (-2u)
BBDLS: none
Teasers: none
Notes: This was an amazing little set for us. We were able to go 3-0 and cash in on the Cook to score the first TD @ over +300. I added in those two late parlays with Washington either winning or covering 4.5. Honestly, even after watching the game, I still think plays on WAS were profitable. Before Keenum went down, WAS had a real shot in that game. On to this Sundays games!

Early Games (1pm)

New York @ Detroit (-6/6.5): To start the day, we have a battle of two sub .500 teams. The Giants are coming off a heart breaker (at least to me, haha) They allowed the Cardinals to come in and deliver an upset victory even though the Giants were coming off increased rest and had some key players returning. Detroit's season so far has been surrounded in a cloud of shit. Maybe the first game of the season should have been an indicator of how their season will play out. Look really good coming out of the gate, but overall fail to live up to the start. They will look to halt their recent stumbles against a Giants offence that has 18 turnovers (worst in the league!). On the flip side, the Giants will probably look to use the return of Saquan to exploit the Lions rush D that gives up an average 4.8 ypc (26th) and 140 ypg on ground (28th). Some notable injuries include: Sterling Shepherd is still out for the Giants, and Kerryon Johnson is out for the Lions after injuring his knee in the game last week against the Vikings. Another notable piece missing will be Quandre Diggs. The lions traded him to Seattle this week in exchange for a 2020 fifth-round pick. This game is going to be about the start. My algo is favoring DET by a TD, but DET hasn't beaten anyone yet by more than 3 points and with their recent struggles and poor run D... NY has the potential to get a lead and lean on their run game, I think a pure upset is possible here. Golden Tate is returning to Detroit and has been a steady look for Jones since his insertion into the Lions offense with a steady increase in targets. (week 5 (6) week 6 (9) week 7 (11))

Tampa Bay @ Tennessee (-2.5): Here we have the well rested Bucs coming off of a loss in London and then a bye week. While the Titans have had a small roller coaster over the last few weeks. They were sliding and ultimately replaced Mariota with Ryan Tannehill. The change of QB ignited a boost from the offense (putting up 400 last week) that was previously lacking in a downfield attack. Other than the Bucs missing TE OJ Howard, there aren't any serious, notable injuries. So, Tennessee does have Derrick Henry...but, the Bucs have a The BEST run D, giving up only 2.9 ypc and 68 ypg (1st in both!) However, the Bucs pass D is atrocious and overall the Bucs have given up 30+ points in EVERY game this year except one. Emotionally it feels like the Titans should be riding high. The change of QB sparked the offense, and the Titans D has made THREE goal line stands this year, in the final minute of games, for wins each time. The Titans D is also sporting a very respectable 16 ppg given up to opposing offense. (good for 4th in the league) The Algo has TB -1 here so its a very curious spread. Usually in these low spread coin flip spots I either stay away or play both sides in separate plays. Looking props, I would look to Cory Davis and AJ Brown (WRs for TEN) who with the QB change went for a combined 12 catches for 144 yards off only 15 targets last game...and this game they are facing the TB secondary that is giving up over 300 ypg in the air.

L.A. Chargers @ Chicago (-3.5/-4): Here we have a classic battle of two teams who preseason were favorites to make the playoffs. Now, less than halfway through the season, it looks as if both teams will be looking ahead to next year. The Chargers are coming off a really tough loss to the Titans last week where it looked like the Chargers scored 3 times to win the game, but none of the attempts ended up counting. The Bears are coming off a blowout loss to the Saints (who were somehow underdogs even though they have been dominant) The Bears offense just doesn't have it. Mitch looks great when the opposing D drops into prevent and gives him time to find open guys...but other than that, he is really struggling. First let's look at notable injuries:
LAC: Melvin Ingram (hamstring) is expected to return after missing the last three games and (LT) Russell Okung (pulmonary embolism) will make his season debut after experiencing major health issues during the off season.
CHI: Chicago CB Sherrick McManis (concussion) likely will miss the game after being injured against the Saints.
Alright, so if Mitch is going to get back on track and show his owners he deserves to stay on this team, the Chargers D is a good spot for him to do it. The Charges D is near the bottom in almost everything [Comp % (32nd), QBR (28th), YPA (29th)]. They only give up 216 ypg in the air., but that's only vs 185 attempts (3rd fewest in the league). On the other side, the Bears D is still pretty good in every category. They only falter in one, Completion Percentage (69%) which is 27th in the league.
In props we are looking at both RBs for this game. Last week Eckler went: 7 rec, 118 yds and a TD and is tied for 3rd most receptions in the NFL! To add to that, the Bears have given up the 5th most yards to receiving backs. On the other side we have Cohen who gets a ton of opportunity for receptions.
Note: Sooo, an interesting stat I came across: Betting the Chargers on the road vs. a team with a better win, would have you sitting at % 22-4 ATS, and if you had teased them you would be 26-0. This is the Chargers over the last 5 years

Seattle @ Atlanta (+7): Soo, it is currently 2:30 pm on Saturday and as I am writing this, most of the online books here in NJ took this game down. The line was originally floating around 3.5/4, now it is only available at 7 on two sites. I am assuming this is because ATL activated their QB3 indicating Ryan has a great chance of being inactive. In injury news: "
The Falcons cornerback Desmond Trufant will miss his third straight game with a toe injury. Rookie Kendall Sheffield will get the start in Trufant’s place. The Falcons will also be without guard James Carpenter (knee) and running back Ito Smith, who is in concussion protocol.
For Seattle, defensive tackle Quinton Jefferson (oblique) and safety Delano Hill (elbow) have been declared out. The problem for the Seahawks is that they have six players listed as questionable, including recent acquire, Quandre Diggs.
Lets start with the obvious, the Falcons D. Atlanta run D is actually pretty good, holding opposing RBs to under 4 ypc and 70 ypg. But, their secondary is trash, bottom of the league in almost everything: QBR 31st, ypg 28th, comp % 29th. The Seattle D is not the defense of old. They average giving up 25 ppg and 360 ypg. However, they are top 10 in takeaways this year with 12 and the ATL offense has 12 turnovers already. On the other side, even with losing to Baltimore last week, SEA O ranks in the top 10 in: qbr 2nd, ypg 10th, comp % 8th, and ypa. Going against that ATL D, the edge definitely sits with SEA. In props, the look is on Austin Hooper. He has had minimum 4 receptions per game, is averaging over 7, and should get an increase in his looks with ATL trading away their WR2 in Sanu.

Denver @ Indianapolis (-4.5/-5): This is one of the most curious lines to me. The algo has the Colts at only -4. Public perception should have the colts at -7/7.5. Yet the line opened at 5, briefly moved up to 5.5 and has been slowly falling to 4.5. I feel like the Colts should rock this game, but the lines are red flagging me otherwise. Lets jump into the numbers. Other than Carl Davis, there are no real injuries to note. In terms of sacks, Brissett has been sacked only 7 times this year, while Flacco has been sacked a whopping 23 times! Even with the recent loss to the Chiefs, the Bronco's D is pretty stout, giving up only the 5th best passer rating and they are 3rd in pass ypg and 3rd in ypa giving up less than 200 pass ypg. The Indy D ranks 19th in rush yards allowed per game, 26th in Football Outsiders’ defensive DVOA metric and 28th and 30th in tackling and run defense respectively according to Pro Football Focus. But, the Bronco's offense sucks ranking 29th in ppg and 25th in ypg. Likely to give them less of an offensive threat is the trade of Emanuel Sanders to the 49ers. If I am going props in this game it would have to be Lindsey(Indy rush D is not that good) or Sutton (he is already the number 1, and the number 2 was traded away this week)
Every time I review this game, the logic tells me that Indy should win and keep the train rolling. But something inside keeps screaming take Denver. Probably nothing, but Im gonna note it :P

NY Jets @ Jacksonville (-6/-6.5/-7): A lot of lines available for this one, which is funny to me...as you'll see, I and my algo both favor the Jets. The Jets are coming off a sha-lacking vs. the Patriots where they were completely shut down. Jacksonville is coming off a 10 point win, but the game was much closer than the score shows with Jacksonville trailing into the 4th where they scored 18 points. Darnold had an issue with a toe, but it looks as if he as go. Other than that, there are 3 linebackers out for Jacksonville, and 1 possibly for NY. The Jets get to see the return of TE Herndon. As we all know, the Jax offense starts with their run game which is pretty good, gaining 5.1 ypc (3rd), and 140 ypg (5th). But, the strength of the Jets defense is their run D. They held pats to 2.2 ypc, and overall they only give up 3.3 ypc (2nd) and 92 ypg (11th) The Jets offense hasn't done much, but they have only started Darnold in 2 games (not including the Pats game because their D seems to be an outlier) and he is 1-1 and could quite easily be 2-0 in those games (losing the first one to the Bills comeback in week 1) It will be facing a Jax D that is pretty good. Their pass rush has a 30% pressure rate (6th), 21 sacks (4th), and a 9.2% knockdown rate (3rd). The algo has Jax @ -9/10 here. But does anyone really feel that confident laying a TD with Jax right now? Based upon the number match ups, this looks like it is going to be a grind of a game with both teams struggling for points. In those predicted under type games, I almost always favor the large amount of points. This is a game that deserves some underdog action.

Philadelphia @ Buffalo (-2): The Eagles are coming off a big divisional loss to the Cowboys on Prime Time, while Buffalo is coming off a win, but a win they had to fight back to get. They were expected to easily handle the Dolphins last week but were taken by surprise as Miami took an early lead. They fought back to take the lead and held on by returning an onside kick for a TD. As usual, lets start with the injury report
For the Eagles, everyone here is OUT:

Nigel Bradham (ankle, illness)
WR DeSean Jackson (abdomen)
OL Tim Jernigan (foot)
OL Jason Peters (knee)
RB Darren Sproles (quad)
CB Avonte Maddox (concussion)

The Bills have a list of questionables, but everyone seems to be a go.
Lets start with Philly. This is their fourth road game in five weeks and they have allowed an average of 31.5 ppg in all 4 road games. Their defense has given up 24 or more points in 6 of 7 games this year and the only game they didn't give up at least 24...was vs. the Jets with Luke Falk at QB. In all 4 of their losses they have had a turnover. Clean games have not been easy for them. They will be facing a Buffalo D that is top in the league. They only give up 15 ppg (3rd) under 300 ypg (3rd) and their pass d is top 5 in ypg, passer rating, completion % and ypa. Combine that with the NFL's seventh-ranked rushing attack (135.8 ypg) with Frank Gore gaining 4.5 ypc. However, Philly is known to stack the box and stop the run. They were gashed last week, but overall only give up 90 ypg on the ground so far. With Philly likely to stack the box and force Buffalo to throw, I will be looking at Brown and Beasly for props, going against a Philly secondary that is laughable. My only concern in this game is my algo has BUF -8.5 and the Vegas spread is WAYYY off from that. This may have me avoiding a side in singles when i would normally feel Buffalo here.

Cincinatti @ LA Rams (-11.5/-12/-12.5): Curious that the spreads are all over the place. However, 11-13 are really dead numbers so not much info to be gained from the multiple spreads. Cincinati looks worse than MIA. They looked decent for 3 quarters last week, but just couldn't hold it together. The Rams took the opportunity to play the Atlanta D and easily hopped back on the win train. This game will be taking place in London. The Bengals arrived on Friday and the Rams spent the week in ATL after last weeks game, and flew to London on Thursday night. No real injuries that need to be talked about. There are a few players out for both sides but nothing should effect the game much. So the Rams D had 5 sacks last week and is 4th in the league in QB pressure. Cincy has already been sacked 24 times this year. The add on of Jaylen Ramsey saw immediate impact as he had 4 tackles and a forced fumble in his first game with the Rams. The Cincy D has allowed an average 102 QBR and 8.4 ypa. While the Rams offense scores 27 ppg (7th) and gains 372 ypg (12th). Another interesting stat: Cincinnati's minus-9 turnover differential is the third-worst in the NFL. The algo only has LA as -9.5/-10.5 so i will probably avoid spreads in this game. For an interesting prop look, check out Darrel Henderson. The RB2 is out and in a gamescript where the Rams are leading by more than a score, they might look to rest Gurley for more difficult situations. This may lead to increased looks for Henderson.

Arizona @ New Orleans (-12/-12.5): Whoa! Big movement and big news. This line opened at 7.5 and has now moved all the way up to 12.5 in most books. This is in connection with the announcement that Brees will be returning this Sunday to lead his team into the bye week. 1st question... why? Bridgewater is 5-0 in his absence. They are facing what should be one of their easier opponents, and they head into a bye next week. Maybe they want Brees to see some game time speed, given it should be one of their easier games. This way he doesn't come out cold in two weeks... I dont know. Either way, it seems like a curious change to make. The Saints have Smith, Cook and Robinson out. While the Cardinals Allen and Foster with a whole list of questionable.
The Saints D is amazing so far. Currently they haven't allowed more than 260 total yards in 4 straight games and they are 34% on 3rd down, and have 20 sacks (5th). In the first four games, Arizona allowed 20 sacks (all losses or tie) but in the last 3 (all wins) Murray has only been sacked a total of 3 times. My Algo had this only as NO -4.5. Now that Brees is in and the line has moved so much, this game may be an avoid game. In props, I may look to Murray's rush yards. He should be pressured a ton in this game, and when he is pressured he likes to move.

Afternoon Games

Oakland @ Houston (-6.5): Oakland is on their 5th straight road game and coming off a loss at GB. They actually had a chance in that game. Carr fumbled in the end zone and it caused a 14 point swing that took away any momentum Oakland had. The OAK D has given up 21 points in 5 straight games and the pass rush has only a 14 % pressure rate (32nd), a 19 % blitz rate (4th lowest) and 10 sacks (28th). If they dont get to the QB, it might be all Houston as Watson is 7-0 in games when he doesn't get sacked and he is sporting 8.3 ypa through the air this year. Along side him is a pretty solid run game lead by Carlos Hyde gaining an average 66 ypg, 4.2 ypc. With the Texans rush offense as a whole gaining 4.9 ypc (5th) and 134 ypg (8th). The Algo has this as Hou -9.5 so this actually makes me suspicious of the spread. Any bets in this game will come down to the start/sit of Josh Jacobs. Without the threat of him in the backfield, the Texans D will be able to drop extra men into coverage, but if he plays, I would look for a closer game that leans towards a shootout.

Carolina @ San Francisco (-4.5/-5/-5.5): These next three are my most anticipated games of the slate. This game features the undefeated 49ers hosting the streaking Panthers. For Carolina, no notable injuries for this week. For the 49ers its the same as before. (FB) Kyle Juszczyk (knee), (OT) Mike McGlinchey (knee), and (OT) Joe Staley are all still out. So to start with we see Garoppolo is 5-0 with eight touchdowns and three interceptions in five home starts with San Francisco. They just added Emanuel Sanders to the roster which should ultimately boost their already good 7.9 ypa on offense. Garoppolo will be going against the Panthers’ secondary that was outstanding early in the season but has surrendered more than 350 yards in consecutive games. The SF rush D that has only allowed 4.1ypc (12th) and 90 ypg (7th) will have its hands full this week going up against Christian McCaffrey who has 923 yards rushing so far. An interesting stat that has me leaning Carolina in this one: CAR blitzes the fewest of any team in the league...YET, they lead the NFL in sacks. I will be shopping my line here and lean with the dog.

Cleveland @ New England (-10/-10.5/-11): This is going to be a fun match up to watch. But it doesn't appear it will be a good game. There are no real injuries to note and you could make a case for CLE by saying they are coming off a bye and are desperate for a win vs. a NE team that is coming off a short week. But with my model, that doesn't appear to be the case. The Cleveland offense averages 231 ypg (16th) and 7.5 ypa (15th) but has 15 dropped passes (3rd )and 11 ints (32nd). They have 1 in every game... Also, Baker has turned the ball over 12 times this year (tied for the most in the NFL) going against a NE D that has 18 INTs right now. This looks like a game where the Patriots will utilize their mutli-headed run game as Cleveland has been gashed for 154.0 yard per game on the ground. The one shining light for the browns D is they have 19 sacks. However, 9 of those sacks have come from Myles Garret. Also, here is a video I came across where it is detailed how to disrupt the play of Baker Mayfield. I feel like if I can find this, so can the Patriots.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z4qlJE4DZsc

Sunday Night Football

Green Bay @ Kansas City(+4.5/+5): This one has the biggest line movement of the slate. Originally, it opened KC -4, since the Mahomes injury, it has moved to what it is now. The only other notable injury is DeVante Adams will still be out for GB. Starting for KC should be Matt Moore, who replaced PM during the Denver game. He did fairly well, coming in and going 10-19 117 yds, 1TD and a 90 QBR. KC last played on Thursday, so they had a few extra days to prepare for this one. I feel like with Matt Moore starting at QB, a lot of KC offensive stats are devalued. KC defense has 20 sacks (5th) and will be facing and offensive line in GB that has only give up 12 sacks. The packers rank 11th in offense but it has mostly been due to the passing game. They have failed to get more than 80 yards rushing in 4 of 7. They may look to turn that around this week against a poor KC run defense that gives up 5 ypc (30th) and 150 ypg (29th). I dont expect Matt Moore to have too difficult of a time. He still has a lot of star power on the offensive side of the ball and they will be facing a Green Bay defense that ranks 26th in total defense and has given up 420 or more total yards three times. However, the team is ninth in scoring defense with 13 takeaways. My algo had GB -2.5, before the PM adjustments. I dont think Moore deserves the 8-9 points Vegas is adjusting for, but even field goad pushes GB to -5.5. Overall for props the model is predicting both of GBs running backs to have increased opportunities on the ground and in the air.

Singles 46-53-2 (+3.03u)

NYG +6.5 (2.2u to win 2u)
NYG ml (1u to win 2.5u)
Golden Tate 75+ Rec Yards (2u to win 2.3u)
Saquon 75+ Rush Yards (1u to win 1u)
Saquon 105.5+ Rush and Rec Yards (0u to win 3u)
Corey Davis 3.5 Rec Over (0u to win 2u)
A.J. Brown 2.5 Rec Over (0u to win 1.3u)
Phillip Lindsey 53.5 Rush Yards Over (0u to win 1u)
Phillip Lindsey to Score TD (0u to win 1.2u)
Chargers ml (1u to win 1.63u)
Chargers +3.5 (2.2u to win 2u)
Eckler 5.5 Rec Over (0u to win 1.2u)
Eckler 45.5 Rec Yards Over (0u to win 2u)
Hooper 58.5 Rec Yards Over (2.3u to win 2u)
NYJ +7 (2.2u to win 2u)
NYJ ml (1u to win 2.7u)
Gardener Minshew 239.5 Pass yards Under (0u to win 1u)
New England -10.05 (1.1u to win 1u)
Kenny stills 3.5 Rec Over (0u to win 2u)
Aaron Jones 64.5 Rush Yards Over(0u to win 1u)
Aaron Jones 13.5 Rush Attempts (0u to win 2u)
Jamal Williams 21.5 Rec Yards Over (1.1u to win 1u)

Parlays: 1-3 (+43.42u)

Titans ml, Rams ml, Saints ml, Pats ml (1u to win 1.86u)
Rams ml, Saints ml, Pats ml, Bills ml (1u to win 2u)
Rams ml, Saints ml, Pats ml, Den +5.5 (1u to win 2.2u)
Jets +7, LAC +3.5, NYG +3.5, CAR +4.5, NE -8.5 (2.5u to win 72.2u) This has "parlay insurance" A promo on DK wherein if 4 out of 5 legs hit, I get a refund on my bet.
Rams ml, Saints ml, Pats ml, GB ml, Jets +7, NYG +6, LAC +3.5 (0u to win 117.7u)

Big Boy Daddy Long Shot 0-6 (-5.19u)

Ten ml, NYG ml, DEN ml, LAC ml, NYJ +7, Buf ml, NO ml, Sea ml, Car +4.5, NE ml, GB ml, Mia ml (0u to win 5438.7u)
Rams ml, Saints ml, Pats ml, GB ml, Jets +7, NYG +6, LAC +3.5, SEA ml, Buf ml, Ten ml, Car +5.5 (0u to win 231.1u)

Super Big Boy Daddy Long Shot: 0-2 (-1u)

I put this in at the Ocean Casino, I will post in the comments if by some miracle all the 1 and 4 pm games hit. (0.5u to win 10000u)

Teasers: 5-11 (-11.18u)

I am putting in a teaser card at the Ocean when I head over there before the games today. I will post picks in the comments after I see the lines and place the bet.

Futures

NE, GB, CLE, NYG all to win their Division (0u to win 257.8u) This is a Free bet (last one for DK, it was close to expiring) I like CLE's schedule after the pats game. NYG..I mean cmon. Everyones getting healthy, and the rest of the division hasn't been dominant enough to count them out. Should be a fun sweat!

Notes for bets: So this week I drove to PA (I live in South Jersey) and I made new accounts on some websites in PA. Because of this I now have 45u in Free Bets that need to be used in the next 30 days. I will probably sprinkle them into my singles and take a 10u shot here or there on a parlay.

Thanks for reading. Good luck to all!!

NFL Playoff Picks 2020: Odds, Prop Bets, Predictions for

nfl playoff prop bets 2020

nfl playoff prop bets 2020 - win

Official r/NFL Week 14 Power Rankings

Hey - One person believes we could win it all next year. That's something, right?

WEEK 3: Denver Broncos (0-2) vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-1)

r/NFL Top 100 Players of the 2019 Season - #20-11

Welcome to the reveal for players ranked 20-11 for this year’s NFL Top 100 Players for the 2019 Season!

#20 - Danielle Hunter - EDGE - Minnesota Vikings

#19 - Chris Godwin - Wide Receiver - Tampa Bay Buccaneers

#18 - Quenton Nelson - Offensive Guard - Indianapolis Colts

#17 - Jamal Adams - Strong Safety - New York Jets

#16 - Derrick Henry - Running Back - Tennessee Titans

#15 - Travis Kelce - Tight End - Kansas City Chiefs

#14 - Ryan Ramczyk - Offensive Tackle - New Orleans Saints

#13 - Julio Jones - Wide Receiver - Atlanta Falcons

#12 - Chandler Jones - EDGE - Arizona Cardinals

#11 - Ronnie Stanley - Offensive Tackle - Baltimore Ravens

LINK TO 2019 POSITIONAL GROUPING TRACKER

LINK TO 2019 RANKER SHEETS

LINK TO HUB

Schedule Change

Official Week 10 R/NFL Power Rankings

CreateYoureReality NFL Wildcard Weekend Analysis and Picks (Also, Final Regular Season Win/Loss and ROI)

Super Bowl Props and Squares Contest @ MyBookie!

CreateYoureReality NFL Analysis and Picks Week 8 (Sunday Games)

nfl playoff prop bets 2020 video

nfl playoff prop bets 2020 top

Our Best 2020 NFL Draft Prop Bets!