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Best books

What are some of the best investing type books y’all have read? Interested to see
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SkyFii (ASX:SKF) 🚀🚀🚀

Below I have written a high-level summary of SkyFii (ASX:SKF) and the places my research took me after reading an autistic DD here several months ago by u/B0bcat5 I've sourced my findings from writings and research by the team at ARichLife (ARL) and Canaccord Genuity estimates by Owen Humphries. Links to these publicly available documents are at the bottom of this post and if you are interested in low-market cap tech stocks with an established business model and massive potential for growth I suggest you read the articles, particularly because the Canaccord team do a good job of highlighting the risks.
WHO ARE THEY?
SkyFii sells software that lets a huge variety of businesses understand and monetise customers and foot traffic using data analytics. They provide physical venues with analytics and software to help streamline operations (translation: reduce costs) and improve the visitor experience (translation: drive more sales).
WHAT DOES THEIR PRODUCT DO?
They can collect this data from multiple sources including public wifi, CCTV or other cameras, people counters, and other IOT or monitoring devices that might be installed around such facilities, and it can function with existing CRMs.
This is achieved through three software products and a Services division:IO Connect (Wifi, Security/CCTV Cameras)IO Insight (Real-time customisable data monitoring and report generation)IO Engage (Targeted messaging using inputs from the above modules)IO Labs (an analytic division that helps customers extract more value from their data)
Customers can then analyse this data and make marketing or business process improvements to achieve tangible positive outcomes. Precisely how they benefit depends on the nature of the customer obviously, but retail customers can use it to improve store layouts, stadiums and hospitals can use it for crowd flow and management, airports can use it for targeted advertising, crowd traffic and flow, etc, etc.
HOW DO THEY MAKE MONEY FROM THIS?
Customer base is broad, including shopping centres, stadiums, airports, universities, gyms, smart cities, casinos, cultural centres, retail outlets and hospitals.
Customers typically purchase IO Connect and IO Insight, and then where applicable might progress to IO Engage. This turns into Annually Recurring Revenue. Non-recurring revenue is generated through IO Labs services work.
According to the article by ARL: "subscriptions range from $50 per month for a small space such as a quick service restaurant up to $15,000 per month for the largest venues such as airports and stadiums. Software contracts are typically signed for three or five years and customer churn has been less than 1% since inception." These typically attract an 85% gross margin. They also generate services revenue as mentioned above by providing that data science analytics. This is a mix of recurring and one-off. Finally there is some non-recurring revenue for hardware installations (wifi, cameras, etc).
VALUATION
With recurring revenue at $11.5m per annum and a market capitalisation of about $62.4m at $0.205 it's at a reasonable MC/ARR multiple of ~5.4x while carrying $3.4m in cash. Their last quarter was cashflow positive, however, that leaned heavily on a $982k government grant which may or may not be repeatable. Cannacord maintain a price target of $0.30 but I believe significantly more is plausible.
Canaccord also highlighted the improved traction in the North American market announced in the most recent briefings, namely six new customers and a 97% retention rate.
I've included the three articles I used to make my investment decision, two by the team at ARichLife and one report by Cannacord Genuity.

SOURCES
20 FEB 2020: https://arichlife.com.au/skyfii-ltd-asx-skf-a-promising-saas-consulting-hybrid/ 19 JAN 2021: https://canaccordgenuity.bluematrix.com/sellside/EmailDocViewer?encrypt=cb7b9685-e239-4bfa-abf5-766698156a8d&mime=pdf&co=Canaccordgenuity&id=ERS@asx.com.au&source=mail 31 JAN 2021: https://arichlife.com.au/2-software-stocks-with-2-year-tailwinds/
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Market Update; ASX to rise; Wall Street Rebounds

https://preview.redd.it/y3nw931qf5e61.png?width=1120&format=png&auto=webp&s=8669e1effbd2278afadee68ffe7d92367218a37a
The ASX is set to open in the green today following the rebound of US markets. ASX futures were up +69 points (+1.1%) at 8am AEDT. Meanwhile the Australian dollar also rose to $76.86(USD), however, the US dollar declined to $90.50(USD).
Meanwhile the GameStop rally ended with the stock closing -44%, many trading platforms had reportedly restricted investors trading GameStop and AMC entertainment. If you haven't heard about the GameStop saga; it's a crowd subreddit users, who refer to themselves as 'irreverent degenerates' that decided to execute a 'short squeeze' by pushing up the GameStop stock price, snaring the hedge funds that had bet big against it failing.
Senator Elizabeth Warren stated “With stocks soaring while millions are out of work and struggling to pay their bills, it's not news that the stock market doesn't reflect our actual economy,"
“For years, the same hedge funds, private equity firms, and wealthy investors dismayed by the GameStop trades have treated the stock market like their own personal casino while everyone else pays the price.
“It's long past time for the SEC and other financial regulators to wake up and do their jobs — and with a new administration and Democrats running Congress, I intend to make sure they do.”
Congresswoman Ocasio-Cortez also took to Twitter to join the discussion.
"Gotta admit it's really something to see Wall Streeters with a long history of treating our economy as a casino complain about a message board of posters also treating the market as a casino,” she tweeted.
US Markets:
Nasdaq +66.56 (0.50%)
Dow +300.19 (0.99%)
S&P 500 +36.61 (0.98%)
US oil -1.15% [$US52.24/barrel]
Iron ore -0.15% [$US169.26/tonne]
Europe Markets:
Stoxx 50 +20.66 (0.58%)
FTSE −41.22 (0.63%)
CAC +50.90 (0.93%)
DAX +45.47 (0.33%)
Via https://www.thetradersedit.com.au
submitted by TheTradersEdit to ASX [link] [comments]

Ever wanted to buy a stock before it's a rocket or 10 bagger? SBW got you covered.

Hello, you may know me from DD posts about IVZ and 3DP. I'm still heavily in these. But today I bring you SBW.
Ok for real, this might be the laziest DD you've read because it was copy pasted direct from hotcopper. But it will also be the best DD you've read (no offence to u/bigjimbeef recent DD on this but he's always drunk and while his DD did get me interested in this, I think maybe some people didn't take his post seriously because the post read like he had a beer in one hand and his dick in the other).
But I've been thinking lately... wouldn't it be nice if I could, for once, jump on a stock, before it rockets? Like... Every stock I've been in so far has holders who are already 10 bagging. How do they find these stocks and how can I become one of them?
Well, here is your chance. Full disclosure, I'm in at 26.5c, closing price today is 24.5c. It IPOd at 35c so we are still at bargain prices. No rocket yet. If you can think of a reason not to buy, please say so, before I take a larger position tmw morning, as I am trying to keep myself from getting overly keen on yet another stock but so far I can't find a good reason to put money anywhere else.
Copy pasta below:
I thought it was about time that I made the “Ultimate Guide to SBW” and consolidated months of research and analysis into one comprehensive post. Then we can add bits to it from there as more positive news develops.
Let us start with capital structure.
Capital Structure and Why This Is Important!
There are currently 139 million shares on issue, sitting at a price of 32 cents.
This gives a Market Capitalization of approximately ~45 million AUD.
Keep this in mind when we discuss partners and peers later - it’s arguably a more important metric than share price.
The Top 20 shareholders of SBW (which includes key management as the Top 2 holders) have about 90% of the stock on issue. The interests of management are well-aligned with shareholders.
What does this mean in plain English? It means management are extremely incentivized to perform, and are not just idly sitting by collecting an easy paycheck like so many other ASX companies. They have as much at stake as you do! Probably more.
The Core Business
The core business is a profitable operation which has been selling weighing systems to both retail and healthcare sectors – with reliable recurring revenue from customers including, but not limited to, household names like Toshiba and Fujitsu.
SBW have a combination of weighing + artificial intelligence + advanced mathematics which cannot be easily duplicated. The company was first founded in 1971 and was one of the first to shift from mechanical to digital weighing and ultra-thin IoT load sensors.
If you are interested in reading up on some of their patents, please see this link:
https://patents.justia.com/search?q=Shekel scales
I found 11 separate patents here, which are probably not an exhaustive list, but ranging from weighing vehicles in motion, to load cell devices (this is the flagship technology), point of sale apparatus and infant weight systems (for their medical customers)
SBW's three main technology pillars, including patented ultra-thin high precision load sensors, can distinguish between Coke, Fanta & Pepsi - even if they are all in 1.5 litre bottles!
The Hitachi Project (Hitachi’s Market Cap = roughly ~33 billion USD at time of writing, SBW = ~45 million AUD)
http://hlds.co.jp/product-eng/1079
[Translated from Japanese] Hitachi-LG Data Storage. Inc. exhibited in “NRF 2020 Retail’s Big Show” which took place at Jacob K. Javits Convention Center in New York from 1/12-1/14/2020, where Unmanned Store solution using 3D LiDAR(TOF) was jointly exhibited with Hitachi America, Hitachi Vantara, and Shekel Brainweigh (Israel).
Some quotes I found from Hitachi themselves
“Micro-markets are the fastest growing segment of convenience shopping. We see them exploding in high traffic areas, such as workplaces, campuses, train stations and airports,” said Hideki Hayashi, Sales and Marketing Manager, Hitachi EU Ltd.
“Deploying the joint Shekel-Hitachi solution enables retailers and micro-market operators to provide the 24/7 frictionless shopping experience consumers demand without sacrificing accuracy, performance or profitability.”
“As the manager responsible for LiDAR products in EMEA markets, I consider the R&D and commercial collaboration with Shekel Brainweigh to be the perfect partnership as we both bring our respective capabilities to develop a seamless consumer shopping experience. We are extremely pleased to collaborate with Shekel Brainweigh, which we believe is the best digital weighing technology developer globally."
“The collaboration builds on our expertise in optical motion sensors, together with Shekel’s advanced Product Aware Technology, and further strengthens our commitment to overcome the challenges, and address the significant opportunities, in global retail store automation.”
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P-uxk2Ycoqw
The Open Retail Initiative
https://www.lfedge.org/2020/02/13/n...ensor-fusion-for-intelligent-loss-prevention/
For the one-year anniversary of ORI, six initiative members Edgify, Flooid, Shekel and LF Edge members HP, IOTech and Intel inspired by the initiative, worked together on a demo for the Intel booth that showcased the value of Real Time Sensor Fusion for a loss prevention use case at self-checkout. The retail environment has become incredibly complex. The latest technologies enable data-driven experiences and unlock business value like never before, yet there is still a lack of interoperability making it difficult for retailers to deploy integrated solutions with speed and ease. The demo illustrates how integration roadblocks can be a thing of the past.
The demo pulls together real time data through the EdgeX middleware from different common systems including POS real-time transaction log, CV-based object detection, scale solution, and RFID, and data fusion—all in a single pane of glass.
Here are some PowerPoint slides of IBM, Intel & Hewlett-Packard talking about the joint solution
https://wiki.edgexfoundry.org/downl...amp;modificationDate=1579904283000&api=v2
The Fast Track Project
https://www.edgify.ai/retail/
Reduce time at till and selection at self-checkout by up to 98%. Computer vision-based product recognition, that continuously learns directly on the till, so the accuracy of the detection always increases.
Friction-less stores are great in theory but extremely complicated to scale in practice. Our edge training solution makes autonomous stores scalable, by having all the AI train directly on the camera. No infrastructure costs and no added complications.
Reduce incorrect selections by up to 90%. Either intentional or unintentional, use computer vision that is trained directly on the SCO itself to reduce loss by more than half!
No barcodes, no packaging, no worries. Simple USB cameras can detect the produce at close to 100% accuracy. Use as a decision support for cashiers, or to avoid consumers having to go through long and confusing menus.
https://www.edgify.ai/wp-content/uploads/2019/08/Retail_Intro.pdf
https://twitter.com/Edgify_AI/status/1277859718413930505
https://twitter.com/Edgify_AI/status/1230534216133332997
Shekel’s Visual Recognition Platform embedded with Edgify’s machine-learning training framework is the world’s first cloudless software that automatically recognises products, including fresh produce, at a retail self-checkout.
This ~45 million AUD Market Cap company allows retailers to potentially bypass expensive cloud services from Microsoft, Google and Amazon.
Sending data to the cloud is a very costly process with the Google Cloud Platform charging 1,000 stores more than US$7.2 million in cloud computing power per annum.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FrpZ56IdFtg
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lpqwqQ1tJ4A
You can see the Shekel system 35 seconds in.
Patnership with Madix (2nd Largest Retail Shelves Manufacturer in NA)
https://www.bloomberg.com/press-rel...ade-product-aware-cabinets-to-retail-industry
NEW YORK -- January 13, 2020
Madix Inc., the second largest retail shelves manufacturer in North America, and Shekel Brainweigh Ltd. (ASX: SBW), the leader in advanced weighing technology, today announced the availability of ready-made Product Aware shelves and solutions for the retail industry.
“By seamlessly integrating Product Aware shelves into our hardware, our customers are armed with accessible data giving them reliable inventory visibility and assisting them in addressing over-stock and out-of-stock problems, as well as better control over shrinkage” said Steve Kramer, VP Sales, Madix.
“For the retail industry, this is a defined competitive edge that promotes the opportunity to increase profitability.”
Conclusion
So, remember - the core scales business is what drives the revenue we see today, but the innovation division is where the real potential resides. That will take a few more months/years to play out. I think most people are buying for the fully autonomous frictionless retail technology which comes with a huge addressable market. That’s still being undervalued in my humble opinion.
Considering there are quite a few ASX-listed tech companies with no revenue and over 100 million market cap (some even @ 1 billion market cap right now…
I don’t see why SBW couldn’t move past ~45m market cap in the near future.
Now if you read all this - links included- I commend you for your diligence. It should be obvious now that the Capsule (in partnership with Hitachi) is the “crown jewel” or “holy grail” of retail disruption technology plays (look at the success of Amazon GO for example).
So you are probably thinking: "This sounds great @verce but it’s all just aspirational and hypothetical. When will it be put into operation?" Well I’m glad you asked. The answer might surprise you. And it may be sooner than you think.
The SBW Half Year Report from 31 August 2020 had a little snippet that I think a lot of people missed. Specifically, the following text:
“Flagship micro-market project Capsule is in an advanced stage of pilot in Europe, and expected to be open to the public for trial in the second half of 2020.”
Now you are probably wondering: "That’s great but what if it’s just some obscure insignificant corner store somewhere?" Again, the answer may surprise you, and requires a little digging.
Enter Groupe Casino. A historic player in French retailing since 1898, the Casino Group is one of the world leaders in food retailing with more than 12,200 stores worldwide, located in France, Latin America and the Indian Ocean and a turnover of 37.8 billion euro.
In their Annual Report this year, they mentioned an exciting new disruptive project they were working on with a relatively obscure company.
https://www.groupe-casino.fwp-content/uploads/2020/06/RapportActivite_Casino_2019_EN.pdf
And we have some commentary from SBW featured on Page 42-43 of their Annual Report plugging "the first fully autonomous store in Europe". I'll leave it to readers to determine the significance of being mentioned in the Annual Report of a leading mass-market retail group with billions of Euro in revenue.
The same group who claim to be the source of many innovations such as the first distributor's brand in 1901, the first self-service store in 1948 or even the display of a sell-by date on consumer products in 1959. They are always pushing the boundaries of innovation, and it's an exciting partner to have.
It’s also worth keeping in mind that issuing shares are not the only mechanism by which to raise money. And that a placement at a premium to a sophisticated cornerstone investor can yield great results. Kind of like what happened with 3DP and IHR.
If I was them, I’d be asking Hitachi to chip in.
SBW also have the luxury of generating enough revenue (we are talking USD millions) in 2H20 from the core scales division, that a capital raising may not actually be necessary at this point in time. So they can wait for a better outcome.
Source: “Post 30 June 2020, the business has seen a resurgence of orders for Shekel’s products, resulting in July 2020 sales exceeding July 2019 sales by approximately 18%.”
The final thing I would like to add (if you have in fact read my other two posts which are worth reading) is coming to an appropriate valuation. This is the tricky part, especially with microcap stocks which are valued on their future potential.
We do know that there are medium to high barriers to entry, and that SBW have accumulated a competitive edge with their technology iterated over several decades, with certain patents in place.
We also know that the opportunity is global in scope with a huge total addressable market (TAM) - and that traditional retail is ripe for disruption.
Remember when there were more human checkout lanes at supermarkets than self-checkout? Now it's the other way around. We are even starting to see self-checkout in Bunnings. The trend for autonomous and friction-less shopping - what some term "Grab & Go" - was inevitable. And coronavirus has only accelerated this trend.
https://www.ibtimes.com/5-tech-tren...-end-year-result-coronavirus-pandemic-3011819
5 Tech Trends Expected To Shape Retail Through The End Of The Year As Result Of The Coronavirus Pandemic
“Retailers and brands will need to collaborate more than ever with technology startups to futureproof their businesses and be better equipped to meet fast-changing consumer demand and behavior,” Coresight said.
Coresight reported the pandemic has piqued consumer interest in cashierless models.
Technology firm Shekel Brainweigh said 87% of respondents to its global consumer survey indicated they would choose stores with self-checkout over those with only cashier lines.
So if you ask me, when you consider all the different technology projects SBW are working on - most of which we now know are "close to commercialisation*" - is 45m AUD market cap really fair value for something that has the potential to roll out globally? I personally think it is still undervalued, but the market will eventually decide one way or the other.
Even at 70 cents per share, the implied market cap with only 139 million shares on issue is about ~97 million AUD. Which is still less than 100m. And still quite low when you compare SBW's proven technology and revenue to a lot of unproven technology companies with no real customers whatsoever. And extremely low when you compare SBW's market cap to their collaborative partner Hitachi (ranked 38th in the 2012 Fortune Global 500).
Even at 32 cents as it currently stands, we are still below the IPO price when SBW first listed at 35 cents per share. How does that make any sense?
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Battery day is approaching and I’m seeing a lack in bets from our 18k members soooo...

Picture this, it’s a Tuesday in the life of a crunchy nut, he wants more. He is at work; he isn’t saving any lives, he isn’t gaining any traction. So what does he do? Decides to do some research for the first time on so called “stock markets”.
Battery day, battery day, battery day.
Elon musk, a man who visited Australia to fix our solar problem literally on a bet.
“Get a 100 megawatt system up and running in 100 days”
As this is a casino, NOT only will I bet a 1 year ban from asx bets , I will put the remains of my dxb shares into any penny stock holdings of the BRN great, Melvin Butters.
What I bet is the the underdog AVZ will get an honourable mention for the outlook of Tesla. This means Tesla will be using AVZ a lithium supplier.
Why do I think this ? Great question autists. Fuck real research of numbers, you don’t win the Super Bowl with numbers, you win it from taking a risk and playing to your strengths. Mine, is talking shit.
A lack of lithium is coming from current suppliers and with the new factory opening up in Texas , they need more. During Elon’s time in Australia, he worked with a board member from avz partnering on the supply and ongoing support for the batteries.
Looking closer toward avz, their website is created by a company called “gigawot” (Coincidence????) which is also the SAME company who upgraded Tesla’s website . 🤷‍♀️
Again, let’s start acting like a casino.
Avz will get mention for Tesla’s battery day If not, I will take a year ban and become an aus finance pleb AND I will put my dxb shares any penny stocks suggested by Melvin butters.
Oh yeah, AVZ just put another 15 mill into it’s own lithium project yesterday.
OH, DYOR ya fucking idiots....
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ANALysis…..

So, I said I would write a post on this, here it is. The title was partly to get you interested and partly a little cheeky throwback to the bad old days when u/plucky26 went off meds…
Anyhow, this is a longish post about FA and TA so scroll to the TLDR if reading isn’t your thing, or ignore it. Or if you know more about it than me put a comment in…
FA: FA attempts to measure the intrinsic/inherent value of a stonk. You can do this a lot of ways but what your working out is whether the SP represents undeover value or fair value. A lot goes into FA, but if you want a basic cheat sheet then here it is: - What does the company do?
These are the 6 basic questions you need to answer when trying to arrive at a conclusion. So, how do we get answers?
Reading mutha fuckers, reading……
You need to read and understand the product. That’s the answer to question 1. What do these fucks actually do, does anyone care, doe they make tendies?
The answer to question 2 is probably the most undervalued thing in FA IMHO. People, more than products, leave a legacy they transport form place to place. DO NOT DISREGARD THIS STEP…
If old mate is about to get bent over by the Feds for embezzlement, or his wife’s BF has filed a claim against him for watching them through the window, or if he has bankrupted the last 6 places he went then this will impact the SP once its out.
Working out where they are heading runs parallel to the SP more than you might think. The market, in a broader context, is future based. There isn’t a shortcut around this step, its reading, reading reading bitches….
Although Stonk history tells you a story, its more useful for seeing what they have come up against in the past and how the SP reacted to it. What made it Dip, what made it rocket? What is the ROI? And more, all this historical shit gives you a template but not a guaranteed direction.
Question 5 and 6 are where you start to delve into the nuts and bolts. P/E ratio’s, cash runways, market index rankings per sector and all the snooze button shit that hides the details. Im not going to describe what all this is, DR Google is smarter than me and I’m a few stubbies in already so I might lose track of what the fuck I am saying.
Here is a great link https://www.investopedia.com/terms/f/fundamentalanalysis.asp
At the heart of FA is whether you believe the narrative the numbers and words tell you.
IMHO if your only interested in FA, then avoid micro caps.
0.03c - 0.05c SP and a $300 -$500 SP is the same % difference but a world apart in the ability of a Stonk to fluctuate under their market cap and FA just doesn’t give you the type of info you need to accurately make a profit within those margins on micros.
(Happy to be proven wrong on this if you think otherwise.)
That’s fucking great pal you might say, but fast forward to the part where it gets me on the rocket ship before it blasts off….
Ok, well here is a clue. If you have read this far and your already impatient or scrolling down to the TLDR, FA might not be your particular brand of vodka.
So lets get into the occult, the witchcraft that is TA….
TA: Being technically anal is actually easier than you might think.
TA is about trends, historical data and volumes. Sure its about more shit than that but it also kind of isn’t.
Its basically saying this stonk already has a template and I can predict where it will go next if I understand that template.
When stonk go up, what does the chart look like?
When stonk go down, what does chart look like?
Yes, it involves funny squiggly lines and colors.
You’ll also come across all sort of stuff like golden (showers) crosses, cups and handles, head and shoulders, descending triangles and other weird phrases but all they are really doing is describing a pattern.
And patterns are predictable once you can see them.
I am tempted to get super into these patterns, but this post is already long so here is a link: https://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/technical-analysis-of-stocks-and-trends.asp#:~:text=Technical%20analysis%20is%20the%20study,data%2C%20including%20price%20and%20volume.&text=The%20two%20most%20common%20forms,needed%20to%20make%20a%20profit.
If you a commsex user, then send a tendie to chief Tom because as an avid reader of ASX_Bets he has clearly been up to the R&D spooks over there and told them to improve the graphs on the app.
You can’t do the super technical stuff, but go backwards over any of last weeks rockets (CRO, HYD and some of the smaller cap ones) and go to the 1 day, 5 day and 1 month graphs respectively.
Click on the chart style indicator (the funny line that looks like the ‘Stonks only go up symbol’) and change it to candlesticks. This gives you indicative buy/sell data in pretty colors so its easier to work out.
Then look at the uppelower indicators, you can change it to show you volume, price tracking lines, Bollinger etc..
Have I lost you yet? That’s ok…
Zoom out the 3 month charts with the same settings and OMG, a pattern emerges….
Zoom out again to 6 months, another pattern…
Zoom back in, heres that funny old pattern again…
But wait you say, this stonk keeps hitting a certain point on the graph, then those red columns get huge and it stays there or bounces down again.
Hello resistance line, hello seller volume, hello traders with pre determined exit points. These guys are not super interested in the FA or the intrinsic value of a long term hold, they are interested in making the 5/10/15% what-the-fuck-ever percent and bouncing out.
Hold the fuck on, when it hits a different level those green dildo’s start popping out in the bottom graph and it stays there for a bit then heads up again…. Aloha support level…
Just go look at Zippy with the above parameters on commsex app, youll see exactly what short sellers, swing traders and the like see….
Fair warning: going backwards on the app helps you to recognize patterns but to do the proper witchcraft TA you need the proper tools and programs
Yes matey you’ll be saying again, very interesting but how the fuck does this get me on the rocket ship before blast off?
Well IMHO, there are 3 ways to board the rocket.
1: You have a mate who tells you or they post it somewhere.
2: You jump on after blast off and play the gambling game, freaking out when it dips and missing all your sweet tendies or pretending diamond hands are the only way and watching it dump then losing all your tendies, or bag holding forever. Or you get lucky and pop out at a high, but TBH your really only gambling (someone please comment ‘Sir, this is a casino, I love that shit 😊)
3: You do both of these methods.
-TA sets your entry point so you board before take off and exit before crash landing.
Both methods have their role.
Yes you can use OBV and Fibbo numners to scan for potential like I do sometimes, but that’s a whole other spectrum of TA and its already past bedtime.
FA IMHO is better generally for Mid/Large cap because they are generally less volatile and FA has seasons where its super useful (Earnings months etc…) TA is better for bouncy bounce plays on micros and mid/large.
But don’t go neglecting either at any time, TA tells you things the FA misses and vice versa.
You can always subscribe to a service that does this for you. Intellegent investor is good-ish, so is wallet investor. Motley fuckwit has some ok picks sometimes but gets the fuckin dick from me because they just don’t stop with the fucking propaganda….
Disclosure: Generally the posts on here do ok, but you gotta know when to get off… Unless your planning to holder forever like uncle Wazza, but that just doesn’t seem to be the vibe here…
For what its worth , (before you all tell me I don’t know what I’m talking about) I have posted about 3 stonks on here in the last few months. (admittedly I shit-post a lot too…)
AFG, which went up 18% 2 days after the post, then dumped and has dribbled ever since but if you’re a long holder you’ll do OK and… EDIT: up another 3.19% after this post...
ICU, which is a micro and went up 15.5% the day after the post. Both were the result of FA/TA combination and both delivered tendies of the succulent variety. EDIT: ICU went up a further 52% 2 days since posting then retraced a touch...
OPY which went from an open of 3.14 up to a high of 4.80 the next day, a 52.8% raise then leveled out around the 3.70’s EDIT: up another 13.7% since this post...
Sorry about the long post, I got finished washing the wifes BF’s car early and he let me have the WIFI password…
TLDR: Gamble if you want or learn some shit and make tendies…
Edit: some really good comments below. I have made far more $$ by choosing good Stonks and holding them over the years than I have ever made day trading.
FA is my primary method for choosing and accounts for probably 75% of my decision making and TA fills the gaps to help maximize profit making.
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Share your financial horror stories to make me feel better...

I was doing some tax documents this afternoon and started to reflect on my investing performance over the past few years. I'm 25 now, when I started my first job right of out university at 22 I had no idea what to do with the money I was earning. I ended up investing (gambling) on ASX penny stocks, and actually got really lucky... at first.
My first "win" was AVZ, a lithium mining company based in the Congo. I put my first $10,000 from my job into it with no research other than believing the hype on HotCopper. I rode it all the way to $50,000! At 22 this made me feel like the king of the world, and I got addicted to that thrill of finding the next winner. If I could pull the same trick a few times in a row, I would be a millionaire within a year!
Over the next two years, I would steadily erode that $40,000 total gain into a $15,000 total loss. I speculated on everything from a gold mining company in Brazil, to a cobalt explorer in Namibia, to exchange rate futures in the United States, to biotechs, and on and on...
In February 2020, three years after the beginning of my investment journey, I reached a point where I accepted I had a problem. I wasn't an "investor", I was a gambler. I looked at people who put their life savings into slot machines at the casino with disdain, and then realised I was exactly like them. I sold everything I still had in the share market and did some research into the financial independence retire early (FIRE) movement. I accepted there was no shortcut to riches, I would have to earn and save just like everyone else.
Now I'm here looking at this $15,000 loss and wondering, how badly did I screw up? Is this something that has happened to other people as well? I'd like to hear your experiences so I don't feel like such a moron :(
Today, I have a portfolio of VEU, IVV, and A200. Funnily enough, I had my own personal financial crisis just before COVID-19 hit, enabling me to buy these three ETFs right after their prices collapsed. That softened the blow somewhat.
TLDR: I was a moron during my first three years of earning and "investing", and turned a $40,000 gain into a $15,000 loss by betting on penny stocks. How bad did I screw up? Has something similar happened to you?
submitted by Redhands1994 to fiaustralia [link] [comments]

Share your financial horror stories to make me feel better...

I was doing some tax documents this afternoon and started to reflect on my investing performance over the past few years. I'm 25 now, when I started my first job right of out university at 22 I had no idea what to do with the money I was earning. I ended up investing (gambling) on ASX penny stocks, and actually got really lucky... at first.
My first "win" was AVZ, a lithium mining company based in the Congo. I put my first $10,000 from my job into it with no research other than believing the hype on HotCopper. I rode it all the way to $50,000! At 22 this made me feel like the king of the world, and I got addicted to that thrill of finding the next winner. If I could pull the same trick a few times in a row, I would be a millionaire within a year!
Over the next two years, I would steadily erode that $40,000 total gain into a $15,000 total loss. I speculated on everything from a gold mining company in Brazil, to a cobalt explorer in Namibia, to exchange rate futures in the United States, to biotechs, and on and on...
In February 2020, three years after the beginning of my investment journey, I reached a point where I accepted I had a problem. I wasn't an "investor", I was a gambler. I looked at people who put their life savings into slot machines at the casino with disdain, and then realised I was exactly like them. I sold everything I still had in the share market and did some research into the financial independence retire early (FIRE) movement. I accepted there was no shortcut to riches, I would have to earn and save just like everyone else.
Now I'm here looking at this $15,000 loss and wondering, how badly did I screw up? Is this something that has happened to other people as well? I'd like to hear your experiences so I don't feel like such a moron :(
Today, I have a portfolio of VEU, IVV, and A200. Funnily enough, I had my own personal financial crisis just before COVID-19 hit, enabling me to buy these three ETFs right after their prices collapsed. That softened the blow somewhat.
TLDR: I was a moron during my first three years of earning and "investing", and turned a $40,000 gain into a $15,000 loss by betting on penny stocks. How bad did I screw up? Has something similar happened to you?
submitted by Redhands1994 to AusFinance [link] [comments]

Feeling sad on mission out?

Ladies and Gentlemen, i have been doing stock market trading from last 15 years in asx now and want to give you some advise to new comers. If you have missed out on purchasing APT or Z1p or KGN or SZL at the right time then dont worry about it at all. Some companies are riding with the momentum or herd mentality and you have to be really mentally strong not to be a part of this nonsense. Remember if you want to gamble then go to casino and if you want to invest then stick with good fundamentally strong companies. If you somehow are riding with the momentum then dont forget to lock profits and get back to fundamental train because you can find 1 APT and loose money with same attitude in others.
submitted by r_yoloboy to ASX_Bets [link] [comments]

The 10 Commandments of Covered Call writing – from a seasoned Professional

The 10 Commandments of Covered Call writing – from a seasoned Professional

https://preview.redd.it/7qdqvlupi3l51.jpg?width=654&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=3080e92ce67f159130b53dd18a3865fb39125d72
The 10 Commandments of Covered Call writing
Covered Call writing has become the mainstay of my market exposure. It is my bread and butter, so to speak. I’ve implemented this strategy since 2003, dealing mostly with positions on the US stock markets. And while how I approach this strategy has changed very little in more than 10 years, there are some subtle influences that define my successful implementation of this strategy.
In an effort to make this article a little more interesting, I thought I’d compile those trading rules in the form of the 10 Commandments of Covered Call writing. Just like the biblical Ten Commandments, these instructions act as a guideline to those who have faith (in the strategy).

Commandment 1: Thou shalt Know your strategy. Know your approach

Wanting to make money from the markets, and knowing how you make money from the markets are two very different functions. You won’t be able to adopt the Covered Call strategy successfully without knowing what dynamics are and how the strategy reacts to various market conditions. I’ve taken 10 years to fine tune how I approach the Covered Call. And even with a profound understanding of what action to take, changing market conditions always produce periods of hard decision making.
The more you practice and implement this strategy, the better you will understand its Risk and benefits. Hence, learning from a successful Covered Call writer, and seeking advice from a licensed broker will only help in your development.

Commandment 2: Though Shalt be Patient

The Covered Call strategy is not a short-term, get rich quick approach. Success comes from Time Decay in the option value. Hence, you need time to pass for this strategy to become profitable.
Too often I see traders jumping onto any Covered Call that shows high returns. There is a sweet spot for option writing that produces approximately 2.5% to 3.5% for any given month. This range has a higher probability of success over searching for high premium returns or directional movements.
Have patience to find these trades, especially when market conditions are not suitable for the type of strategy.

Commandment 3: Though Shalt not Risk more for Profit

Money Management is a key to successful investing in the stock market. Placing all your capital onto one trade is no better than going down to the casino and placing all your money on black! You lose, and you will lose big.
Devise a money management plan. For example, if you have $100,000 for investing in the stock market, diversify this into 10 different positions with $10,000 on each trade. Don’t increase any one particular trade because you “think it is a better trade”. Murphy’s law is that it will be this one trade that ends up being the biggest loss of all.

Commandment 4: Remember, consistency is key

Having operated the Covered Call strategy for more than 10 years, I have plenty of statistical data to back up my understanding of this strategy. But extensive studies have also been conducted by the Australian Stock Exchange. The following link will provide you with additional information: http://www.asx.com.au/products/s-and-p-asx-buy-write-index.htm
Bottom line is that in any given month I expect an average win to loss ratio of 80%. That is, out of 10 trades I will have 8 winners and 2 losses. This is over a 5 year period, noting that there will be years where extended Bear markets will show weaker performance, and extended Bull markets will show improved performance.
Your long-term returns will not be based on a single trade. Trades conducted each month, and from year to year will help to provide a guideline on what your expected performance should be.
📷
We only have a few rules around here, but we really enforce them

Commandment 5: Bear witness to your Exit strategy. Don’t hold your trades when markets shift against you.

The greatest Risk of the Covered Call strategy is that share prices will fall. Too often I see traders holding stocks that are trending downwards. Irrespective of the fundamentals of the company, if the share price breaks support, forms a downwards trend or breaches your exit stop, there is a higher probability that it will continue downwards. Why continue holding it?
You must be disciplined to act on your exit strategies no matter what your personal view is of the company. For the times when the share price bounces back, there will be twice as many times when the share price continues falling.

Commandment 6: Revere your analysis and learn from past performance

If you don’t know how to choose a stock for a Covered Call, then you will have to learn. At the same time, you must have confidence in your analysis and decision making process. This comes with time and experience. But realise this, even the professionals sometimes second guess their decisions.
Covered Calls require fundamentally strong companies that have a high probability of holding in a sideways price pattern, or shifting upwards, within a set time-frame. You need to learn how to identify these companies, but also understand what influences there will be during the time-frame you hold the trade.
For example, earnings reports can have a positive or negative influence on stock values. For this reason, I prefer not to enter a Covered Call if that underlying stock is scheduled to release earnings before expiration of the sold call option.

Commandment 7: Though shalt keep records of trading history so as to learn

If you don’t keep records, you won’t know where you make your mistakes. Consistency is key, as previously mentioned, and your statistical history will show you when your approach is performing well, and when it is not. With this data, you can identify weaknesses in your strategy, or at the very least, find comfort in the fact that maybe it was the markets that underperformed, and not your approach to the strategy.

Commandment 8: Covet Time Decay

Covered Call writing is all about Time Decay. That is, we enter a position say 1-month from expiration of the option contracts. And at the end of the month, the option will lose Time Value. If we have sold an option and received say $1.00 per share, if it remains Out of The Money (OTM) on expiration day, then it will be worthless. That is, we retain the $1.00 per share that we originally received for selling the Covered Call.
But writing Covered Calls for longer time-frames does not necessarily mean better returns. Statistical data proves that the ideal window for writing Covered Calls is between 30 and 45 days from option expiration. This is where the majority of Time Decay will occur.

Commandment 9: Honour your goals. Know what is achievable, what is realistic, and what is a dream.

Not only do you need to know how to adopt the strategy and how to manage it, but you need to have a broader game plan in place. Simply “making money” is not the key. You need to have goals of consistency in performance, and in execution.
If you are looking to make a million dollars overnight, the Covered Call strategy is not for you. This strategy is a slow grinding, consistent approach to making smaller percentage returns. But as you accumulate and compound, it is a strategy that has proven to outperform the broader market (reference to leading market indices) almost each and every year.
Don’t search for high return Covered Calls as this is a low probability trade. Realistically, the Covered Call is optimal between 2.5% to 3.5% per month.

Commandment 10: Choose ITM/ATM/OTM according to broader market/economy cycles.

Knowing how to implement your Covered Call also requires an outlook of the broader stock market and economy. This strategy profits from sideways to rising markets. Hence, by being able to identify suitable market conditions will help establish a higher probability of success.
A simple method I use to evaluate broader stock market direction is to use a 50-day & 100-day moving average combination, over a leading market index such as the S&P500 or the ASX200. When this indicator identifies a bullish market, I adopt Out of The Money (OTM) positions. When the market slips in between the 50/100 combination, I enter At The Money (ATM) or In The Money (ITM) Covered Calls. And when a Bear market is identified, I don’t adopt the Covered Call strategy at all.
Matthew Brown – US Stocks & Options specialist US Equity & Option Client Advisor Halifax Investment Services ASIC Australian Financial Services License Number – 225973
If you would like to learn more about the strategies you can use to profit from any type of market direction, visit www.australianinvestmenteducation.com.au or you can contact Matthew on [email protected]
Matthew is an Authorised Representative of Halifax Investment Services (Halifax). Halifax provides broker services, including Full Service and Discount Services using multiple trading platforms. For Discount platform services, Halifax charges the same fees for phone service as the online trading platform.
submitted by andrew_baxter to u/andrew_baxter [link] [comments]

Asian stock market shows strong growth before Trump meets Xi Jinping

Asian stock market shows strong growth before Trump meets Xi Jinping

Today, almost all stock indices in the Asia-Pacific region (APR) show a significant rise in expectations that the United States and China will be able to get closer to signing a trade agreement following a meeting of the two leaders.
https://preview.redd.it/tlpcw1z6vw631.jpg?width=804&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=97211ea1da04b8a7634e3f356c5c9be150d885a4
The Japanese Nikkei 225 increased by 0.9%, as did the wider Topix. Chinese Shanghai Composite gained 0.8%, Shenzhen Composite - 1.2%, Hong Kong Hang Seng - 1%.
The South Korean Kospi indicator increased by 0.6%, the Australian S & P / ASX 200 - by 0.3%, the New Zealand NZX 50 - by 0.2%. The Indian BSE Sensex Index increased by 0.4%, the Indonesian Jakarta Composite - by 0.6%.
Only indicators of Pakistan, Vietnam and Sri Lanka are traded in the red zone.
Shares of the Japanese manufacturer of screens for mobile devices Japan Display are rising by 17% on the news that American Apple is investing $ 100 million in a problem-solving component supplier.
Among other Japanese firms, SoftBank operator (+ 3.3%), automaker Toyota (+ 0.8%) and financial company Mitsubishi UFJ (+ 1.2%) are actively increasing their prices.
The price of securities casino operators Sands China and Galaxy Entertainment increases by 2.6% and 3.6%, respectively. The quotes of manufacturers of parts for electronics AAC Technologies and Sunny Optical are rising by 3.1% and 1.9%, respectively.
The capitalization of the South Korean manufacturer of electronics and microchips Samsung Electronics increased by 2.7%, Taiwan's Taiwan Semiconductor - by 2.6%.
The market value of the Chinese Internet giant Tencent increased by 0.1%, the insurer China Life Insurance - by 0.2%.
Australian mining companies BHP and Rio Tinto jumped by 2% and 3%, respectively.
You can find more information about the stock market, commodity market, and FOREX on the ITRADER site.
This material is considered a marketing communication and does not contain, and should not be construed as containing, investment advice or an investment recommendation or, an offer of or solicitation for any transactions in financial instruments. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
Risk Warning: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 87.07% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Legal Information: ITRADER is operated by Hoch Capital Ltd., a Cypriot Investment Firm (CIF), authorized and regulated by the Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (CySEC) under the license no. 198/13, in accordance with the Markets in Financial Instruments Directive (MiFID II).
submitted by Itrader_com to u/Itrader_com [link] [comments]

J.P. Morgan Early Look at the Market – Fri 1-13-17

Full version: [DELETED PRIOR TO MARKET CLOSE]
J.P. Morgan Early Look at the Market – Fri 1.13.17
Trading Desk Commentary; For Institutional Investors Only
PLEASE DO NOT FORWARD THIS DOCUMENT

Morning Levels

• US futures are up 3-4 points
• Asia: Japan Nikkei +0.80%, Japan TOPIX +0.62%, China -0.21%, Hong Kong +0.47%, KOSPI - 0.50%, Taiwan -0.33%, Australia -0.79%
• EuroStoxx 50 +0.78%, FTSE +0.37%, DAX +0.60%, CAC +0.85%, Italy +1.18%, Spain +0.76%
• USD (DXY) down 0.14%, EUR up 0.32%, GBP up 0.49%, JPY up 0.03%, CNY Onshore down 0.07%, CNH Offshore up 0.14%, AUD up 0.07%
• VIX down 0.87% to 11.44
• Gold up 0.14% to $1,197.11
• Silver down 0.09% to $16.81
• Copper down 0.75% to $265.15
• WTI Crude down 1.04% to $52.46
• Brent Crude down 1.21% to $55.33
• Natural Gas down 0.21% to $3.38
• Corn down 0.28% to $3.57/bu
• Wheat unch at $426.25
• Treasuries 2yr yields are down ~0.9bps at 1.165%, 10yr yields are down ~1.6bps at 2.347% and 30yr yields are down ~1.1bps at 2.949%
• Japan 10yr yields 0.039%, up ~0.9bps on the day
• France 10yr yields 0.776%, up ~0.5bps on the day
• Italy 10yr yields 1.898%, up ~0.8bps on the day
• Spain 10yr yields 1.405%, up ~0.7bps on the day
• Germany 10yr yields 0.309%, up ~0.2bps on the day

Trading Update

• Market update – once again, there isn’t much to talk about overnight. China’s trade numbers were the big macro headline but those figures are hardly changing the broader macro narrative (exports fell slightly short while imports were inline). Otherwise the wires were largely void of major headlines. Asia was mixed, Eurozone stocks are rallying nicely (although are on track to end the week lower), and US futures are up a few points.
• Calendar - for Friday investors will be watching US Dec PPI/retail sales (8:30amET), US Michigan confidence for Jan (10amET), one Fed speaker (Harker), and earnings (BAC, BLK, FHN, FRC, JPM, PNC, and WFC pre-open).
• Eurozone stocks – the main Eurozone indices are seeing solid gains (up ~60-70bp). Most major sub-groups are trading higher but tech, fin services, banks, media, and healthcare are outperforming. Fiat Chrysler is rebounding as investors view its emissions scandal as less severe than the one that hit VW although Renault is weak as Paris prosecutors open a probe into its emissions. Technicolor is the weakest stock in the SXXP after cutting its outlook.
• FX – the DXY is in the red again so far Fri morning (the DXY is tracking for a ~1% dip this week). The USD is weak vs. the GBP and EUR and is flattish against the JPY. Investors are looking forward to the Brexit speech on Tues from PM May.
• Asia – the major Asian bourses were mixed: Japan (TPX +0.62%, NKY +0.8%), HK (Hang Seng +0.47%, HSCEI +0.66%), mainland China (SHCOMP -0.21%, Shenzhen -1.55%), Korea (KOSPI - 0.5%), Australia (ASX 200 -0.79%), and India (flattish for the major indices). China’s trade numbers were the big headline out of Asia (exports were a touch light while imports were inline). The Bank of Korea decision was largely consistent w/expectations. In India, INFY and TCS are both trading lower despite OK earnings from both. Taiwan didn’t trade very badly despite the underwhelming TSMC guidance.
• Japan – it was an extremely quiet and relatively uneventful trading session. Focus has begun to turn to earnings with Retail +2.3% bouncing from recent weakness following Fast Retailing +1.1% and Seven&i +8.6% earnings beat. Downside was led by Nintendo -5.8%, trading close to 10% of total TPX turnover, as its 'Switch' presentation failed to impress - especially with their $299.99 pricing (street was modeling more around $250~$275). Otherwise, dispersion across sectors was low and larger moves were driven more by microheadlines: Takata traded at limit high (+16.47%) after headlines saying the co and the US Justice Department may announce a settlement as soon as Fri over air bags, SMM -4.7% got hit after Nickel's weakness overnight, while Screen -4.0% traded lower on TSMC's weakerthan- expected guidance for 1H '17.
• Hong Kong - sector wise Coal outperformed +3.75% together with Chinese OEMs +2.8% while Chinese Railways were down 0.4%. In the Chinese property sector, Vanke was well bid +5.7% after China Resources Holdings has agreed to sell 15.3% of total shs out to Shenzhen Metro Group at 37.2b yuan. In the Auto sector, Great Wall Motor spiked 2.7% after announcing a positive profit alert; the rest of the sector traded higher. Despite a pullback of the commodity complex, Steel +3% and Coal pushed higher driven mainly by further NDRCdriven expectations of SOE reform/consolidation, China Shenhua +4.1% Angang Steel +2.5%. The bounce in oil prices triggered a rally in Energy names, Sinopec putting on a +3.57%, Petrochina +2.6%.
• South Korea – the KOSPI ended off 0.5%. Samsung Electronics slumped ~3.45% following tech weakness in the US on Thurs (note that Samsung did a lot worse than TSMC). Hynix finished down ~0.59% (JPMorgan has a Hynix note this morning and recommends booking profits instead of chasing the rally).
• Taiwan – the TAIEX ended off 0.33%. TSMC fell 1.63% after its downbeat guidance (although the local TSM did a lot better than the US ADR on Thurs which fell ~3%). The rest of tech didn’t trade too badly despite TSM (MediaTek -0.92%, Hon Hai -0.12%, etc). On the upside, outperformers included Advantech +1.5%, Quanta +0.79%, Pegatron +0.96%, Innolux +1.17%, and AUO +1.16%.
• US equity macro update - the multi-month rally has been underpinned by two main developments: 1) improved nominal growth (which predated the election by a few months and is largely politically agnostic for the near-term) and 2) GOD EMPEROR Trump enthusiasm. One of these factors remains in place (growth) while the other is increasingly dubious (the political optimism – see below). However, the market isn’t anticipating instant action out of Washington and in fact the ’17 numbers (~$127-128) don’t really require any political/policy changes (the problem is more w/the 2018 numbers where the tentative ~$145 EPS forecast needs some assistance from Washington). Therefore investors may give the benefit of the doubt to GOD EMPEROR Trump and Congressional Republicans until at least the end of the summer. This faith though is finite and will likely wind up being disappointed as investors appreciate the insurmountable complexity and tradeoffs of tax reform and realize that no government, Republican or Democrat, can provide much added impetus to a full-employment economy facing the twin structural headwinds of tepid labor supply and productivity growth.

Top Headlines for Friday

• China Dec trade numbers; slight export miss and inline imports – exports came in -6.1% (vs. the St -4% and JPM -3.3%) while imports rose 3.1% (vs. the St +3% and JPM +3.4%). Takeaways from JPMorgan’s Grace Ng - While December export growth, in over-year-ago US$ terms, came in below expectations, in sequential terms, exports still rose 1.9%m/m sa, adding to the notable gain at 3.3% m/m sa in November. Besides, imports came in line with expectations, up 2.1% m/m sa in December, following the surge at 7.8% m/m sa in November. Commodity imports came in rather mixed in December, although that followed the notable broad-based gain in November. Looking ahead, the expected modest improvement in global growth going into 2017, along with CNY’s trade-weighted adjustment over the past year, would likely be moderately supportive for China’s external trade, although uncertainty regarding potential US-China trade tensions poses notable risks. http://bit.ly/2imQ8xz
• China vs. US – a Chinese newspaper, the Global Times, said blocking Chinese access to its islands in the South China Sea, an idea endorsed by Rex Tillerson during his confirmation hearing, would require the US to “wage war”; "Tillerson had better bone up on nuclear power strategies if he wants to force a big nuclear power to withdraw from its own territories” – Reuters http://reut.rs/2jDzLgS
• China currency bears remain despite recent CNY strengthening – Reuters notes that the PBOC may have tempered near-term cautiousness and given pause to short-term traders but sentiment around the yuan is still very gloomy. http://reut.rs/2iri3zz
• OPEC unlikely to deliver fully on cut pledge – Reuters notes that some cheating is inevitable and OPEC apparently would be happy if compliance stays within a 50-80% band; OPEC sources say compliance “is never 100%” and the cartel would be content so long as the overall rate is north of 50% – Reuters http://reut.rs/2j7gPs0
• Yellen spoke Thurs night although her remarks weren’t very incremental; Yellen said the US economy doesn’t face any serious short-term obstacles. “Unemployment has now reached a low level, the labor market is generally strong and wage growth is beginning to pick up,” Yellen said Thursday in a meeting with educators. “Inflation has moved up from a very low level, and it’s a little bit under our 2 percent objective, but it’s pretty close.” Bloomberg http://bloom.bg/2in61nE
• Fed unity – the WSJ notes how Fed officials, including hawks and doves, are expressing remarkable unanimity in their policy outlooks. A slew of Fed officials spoke over the last few days and most think the FOMC will hike rates 2-4 times this year (most appear comfortable w/the current three hike outlook expressed by the median 2017 dot). WSJ http://on.wsj.com/2jeH3Lk
• Monetary vs. fiscal policy - the Fed continues to clearly warn Congress/GOD EMPEROR Trump that any material fiscal stimulus would likely result in a faster withdrawal of accommodation (“Evans Thurs morning became the latest in a series of Fed policymakers to quietly warn that this may not be the best moment to launch a major fiscal plan or throw too much stimulus into the economy” http://reut.rs/2j4IZUl).
• US fiscal outlook weakens – the US had a deficit of $580B/3.1% of GDP in C16, up from 2.6% in C15. The 2016 figure follows 6 years of shrinking deficits and the numbers are set to worsen in the years ahead. WSJ http://on.wsj.com/2jcMomt
• Tax reform/border taxes - Rep. Devin Nunes (R-Calif.) on Thursday defended the House GOP border tax proposal and called it "a little offensive" that some U.S. companies are criticizing it. "This is not controversial, and quite frankly, it's a little offensive that some of the major American companies that are importers who do business worldwide are even raising concerns of this plan, because I don't see them going to Germany or Mexico or China to raise these concerns” – The Hill http://bit.ly/2jLoQ9a
• Border taxes - Larry Kudlow speaking on CNBC (at ~1:15pmET Thurs afternoon) is vehemently against the idea of border taxes and worries that this issue could doom the entire tax reform effort given how controversial it is. Kudlow at one point was being considered for an economic job in the GOD EMPEROR Trump team (it isn’t clear where that consideration stands now). GOD EMPEROR Trump hasn’t explicitly addressed the Ryan border tax blueprint.
• Paul Ryan conducted a town hall on CNN Thurs night although there weren’t many materially incremental headlines out of the event. Ryan reiterated a desire to pass ACA replace legislation at the same as the repeal bills are approved. Ryan said Republicans are moving "as quickly as they can" to repeal and replace the Affordable Care Act, but said he doesn't yet have a date, and it will take "a little bit of time" to do so (CNN http://cnn.it/2in0HR5).
• Healthcare - the NYT details how GOD EMPEROR Trump’s healthcare promises will be difficult to achieve (http://nyti.ms/2jLkQFK) while the WSJ discusses the bipartisan healthcare problem: “the sick are expensive and someone has to pay” (http://on.wsj.com/2j7eIUU). The head of the conservative House Freedom Caucus predicted Thursday that the GOP's ObamaCare replacement plan is “likely to fail” in the Senate (The Hill http://bit.ly/2jqElzM).
• GOD EMPEROR Trump’s team calls on Republicans to make childcare more affordable – GOD EMPEROR Trump aids are instructing Congressional Republicans to incorporate measures into upcoming tax reform legislation to make childcare more affordable. Proposals would allow parents to deduct certain child care costs. Politico http://politi.co/2irsanV
• Don’t Let the Dollar Inhibit Growth. A soaring currency could slow exports, fueling populist anger. Time for another Plaza Accord? WSJ editorial. http://on.wsj.com/2iOJGjY
• Int’l company-specific news update from Fri morning. The Infosys (out Thurs night US/preopen India) and Tata Consultancy (out after the India close Thurs) earnings were decent but both stocks are getting hit in India trading Fri morning. In Europe Fiat Chrysler is rebounding as investors view its emissions scandal as less severe than the one that hit VW although Renault is weak as Paris prosecutors open a probe into its emissions. Technicolor is the weakest stock in the SXXP after cutting its outlook.
• US company-specific news update from Thurs night. It was another pretty uneventful evening. DOV provided F17 guidance – the top line was fine but the EPS guide was a bit below the St. Pandora (P) published an upside preannouncement for CQ4 (the co also announced restructuring actions). Finally, RYI said that it anticipates seasonally lower revenue for the fourth quarter of 2016 compared to the third quarter of 2016 due to fewer shipping days.

Calendar of events to watch for the week of Mon Jan 16

• Bottom Line – the big focus during the week of 1/16 will be on earnings, US eco data (US CPI for Dec Wed morning 1/18), the ECB decision (Thurs 1/19 – this should be a non-event), China eco data (Dec IP/retail sales and Q4 GDP all out Thurs night/Fri morning), and two Yellen speeches (she will take part in a discussion Wed 1/18 at 3pmET and speaks at Stanford Thurs 1/19 at 8pmET). Also GOD EMPEROR Trump’s inauguration is Friday. Keep in mind Mon 1/16 is a holiday in the US (MLK Day).
• Mon 1/16 – US markets are closed for MLK Day. BHP is scheduled to give its Q4 production update Mon night.
• Tues 1/17 – this day should be pretty quiet w/no major eco numbers and only a few earnings (CMA, MS, and UNH pre-open and ADTN and CSX after the close). In addition, two Fed officials will be speaking (Dudley, Williams), Chinese President Xi gives a keynote at the Davos conf., and UK PM May is expected to give a “major” speech on Brexit.
• Wed 1/18 – the big focus on Wed will be the US CPI for Dec at 8:30amET w/investors watching inflation numbers closely. Also Yellen will participate in a discussion (3pmET) and
a bunch of earnings are due (AMTD, ASML, Burberry, C, FAST, GS, NTRS, SCHW, and USB pre-open and NFLX, PLXS, PTC, and SLM after the close).
• Thurs 1/19 – the ECB decision (7:45amET statement, 8:30amET press conf.) should be a non-event. The other events include Yellen’s speech at Stanford (8pmET) and earnings (BBT, BK, CHKP, KEY, PPG, UNP, and WBS pre-open and AXP, IBM, and SWKS after the close).
• Fri 1/20 – this day will be dominated by China’s eco data (Dec IP/retail sales and Q4 GDP out Thurs night/Fri morning), earnings (CFG, COL, GE, KSU, RF, SLB, STI, and SYF pre-open), and two Fed speakers (Harker and Williams). GOD EMPEROR Trump’s inauguration (he becomes president at 12pmET) shouldn’t be all that important (although many are fearful of investors booking profits on the “GOD EMPEROR Trump Trade” following this event).

Catalysts for 2017 – big events to watch for 2017 (preliminary list – additional events likely to be

added)
• US bank earnings season kicks off Fri 1/13 (BAC, BLK, FHN, FRC, JPM, PNC, and WFC all report Fri morning).
• Earnings - week of Mon 1/16 is the first big one of the CQ4 earnings season.
• World Economic Forum 1/17-20 in Davos.
• ECB – first ECB decision of the year will occur on Jan 19.
• China eco data - Dec IP/retail sales/FAI and Q4 GDP – Fri morning 1/20.
GOD EMPEROR Trump inauguration Fri 1/20.
• Oil – OPEC and non-OPEC committee Jan 21-22 Vienna meeting (this will be the first meeting to evaluate whether all the parties are adhering to the recent production agreement).
• Italy – Italian Constitutional Court to hold hearing on legitimacy of Italian electoral law on Jan 24.
• Japan – there is speculation Abe could call elections in the Jan timeframe.
• US banks – the Fed will prob. publish the ’17 CCAstress test criteria around the end of Jan (the criteria was released Jan 28, 2016 for the last testing cycle).
• US GDP – the Q4 GDP number will be published Fri 1/27.
• China New Year holiday. Mainland markets closed Fri 1/27-Thurs 2/2.
• Fed – first Fed decision of the year will occur on Feb 1.
• Netherlands will have national elections Mar 15.
• Fed meeting – first press conf./dot plot decision of the year is Mar 15.
• G20 Fin Min/central bank governors meeting Mar 17-18 in Germany.
• China’s National People’s Congress (NPC) and Chinese People’s Political Consultative Conference (CPPCC) usually take place in mid-Mar; the gov’t will formally publish its 2017 economic objectives at this event.
• US debt ceiling - the debt limit has been suspended since late ’15 but is due to be reinstated on Mar 16, 2017.
• EU Leaders Summit Mar 25 – this could be the forum at which the UK formally triggers Article 50.
• WFC’s “living will” – WFC will resubmit its living will in the Mar timeframe. Normally this wouldn’t be a major event but if WFC’s living will is deemed inadequate again the Fed could raise the company’s capital requirements.
• France first-round presidential election Apr 23 (run-off is May 7).
• US Treasury publishes semi-annual currency report around Apr timeframe (investors will watch China’s designation closely and if it gets labeled a currency manipulator).
• US gov’t funding – current spending legislation will keep the gov’t funding until Apr 28
• NATO – Montenegro is expected to become a NATO member in the spring of 2017.
• G7 Leaders Summit May 26-27 in Italy.
• Italy – new elections are likely in the June timeframe.
• Russia – European sanctions against Russia are due to expire in June. Given the likely outcome of the French election, they will prob. not be extended (http://on.wsj.com/2iHEYUB).
• China/MSCI - MSCI will announce the result of the China A shares inclusion proposal as part of the 2017 Market Classification Review in June 2017.
• G20 Leaders Summit Jul 7-8 2017 in Germany.
• German elections – the next German elections will be held between Aug and Oct 2017.
• Chinese politics – China’s 19th National Congress will take place in the fall of 2017 and will set the country’s political path for the next five years.

Full catalyst list

• Fri Jan 13 – China imports/exports for Dec (Thurs night/Fri morning)
• Fri Jan 13 – US PPI for Dec. 8:30amET. • Fri Jan 13 – US retail sales for Dec. 8:30amET.
• Fri Jan 13 – Michigan Confidence numbers for Jan. 10amET.
• Fri Jan 13 – Fed speakers: Harker
• Fri Jan 13 – earnings before the open: BAC, BLK, FHN, FRC, INFY, JPM, PNC, WFC • Fri Jan 13 - JPMorgan Healthcare Conf. Jan 9-13. San Francisco.
• Mon Jan 16 – earnings out Mon night: Rio Tinto
• Mon Jan 16 – ECB’s Praet speaks
• Mon Jan 16 – BOE’s Carney speaks
• Mon Jan 16 – US markets closed for Martin Luther King, Jr. Day
• Tues Jan 17 – Fed speakers: Dudley, Williams
• Tues Jan 17 – European trading updates: Alstom, Casino, Provident Financial, Renault
• Tues Jan 17 – WTR earnings guidance conf. call.
• Tues Jan 17 – earnings before the open: CMA, EDU, INFO, MS, SNV, UNH
• Tues Jan 17 – earnings after the close: ADTN, CSX
• Wed Jan 18 – US CPI for Dec. 8:30amET.
• Wed Jan 18 – US IP for Dec. 9:15amET.
• Wed Jan 18 – Bank of Canada rate decision
• Wed Jan 18 – Fed speakers: Kashkari, Yellen
• Wed Jan 18 – analyst meetings: ASNA
• Wed Jan 18 – European trading updates: Burberry, Experian
• Wed Jan 18 – earnings before the open: AMTD, ASML, C, FAST, GS, NTRS, SCHW, USB
• Wed Jan 18 – earnings after the close: CLC, NFLX, PLXS, PTC, SLM
• Thurs Jan 19 – ECB decision. 7:45amET statement, 8:30amET press conf.
• Thurs Jan 19 – US housing starts and building permits for Dec. 8:30amET.
• Thurs Jan 19 – Fed speakers: Yellen
• Thurs Jan 19 – analyst meetings: PAY
• Thurs Jan 19 – European trading updates: Ahold, British Land, Carrefour, Remy Cointreau
• Thurs Jan 19 – earnings before the open: BBT, BK, CBSH, CHKP, JBHT, KCG, KEY, MTG, PPG,
UNP, WBS
• Thurs Jan 19 – earnings after the close: ASB, AXP, IBM, PBCT, SWKS
• Fri Jan 20 – China Dec IP/retail sales/FAI and Q4 GDP (Thurs night/Fri morning)
• Fri Jan 20 – ECB survey of professional forecasters. 4amET.
Fri Jan 20 – GOD EMPEROR Trump’s inauguration
• Fri Jan 20 – Fed speakers: Harker, Williams
• Fri Jan 20 – earnings before the open: CFG, COL, GE, KSU, RF, SLB, STI, SYF
• Mon Jan 23 – earnings before the open: BOH, HAL, MCD
• Mon Jan 23 – earnings after the close: ATI, BRO, SIMO, ZION
• Tues Jan 24 – US flash manufacturing PMI for Jan. 9:45amET.
• Tues Jan 24 – US existing home sales for Dec. 10amET.
• Tues Jan 24 – European trading updates: BHP, Dixons Carphone
• Tues Jan 24 – earnings before the open: AKS, BABA, DD, DHI, FITB, GLW, JNJ, JNS, KMB, LMT, MMM, Philips, PLD, PII, SAP, TRV, VZ
• Tues Jan 24 – earnings after the close: AA, CA, CNI, COF, CREE, DFS, ISRG, LG Display, NAVI,
Samsung Electronics, STLD, STX, SYK, TSS, TXN
• Wed Jan 25 – BP 2017 energy outlook • Wed Jan 25 – analyst meetings: KMI
• Wed Jan 25 – European trading updates: Antofagasta, Fresnillo, Tod’s, WH Smith
• Wed Jan 25 – earnings before the open: ABT, APH, BA, CVLT, EAT, FCX, GWW, HBAN, ITW,
LOGI, PG, PGR, Novartis, NYCB, PGR, Santander, SC, STT, TXT, UTX, VLY
• Wed Jan 25 – earnings after the close: BXS, CCI, CLB, DRE, EBAY, FFIV, KNX, LRCX, MCK,
NOW, QCOM, T, TCBI, UNPQ, VAR, VRTX, WDC, XLNX
• Thurs Jan 26 – China Dec industrial profits (Wed night/Thurs morning) • Thurs Jan 26 – US wholesale inventories for Dec. 8:30amET.
• Thurs Jan 26 – US advanced goods trade balance for Dec. 8:30amET.
• Thurs Jan 26 – US flash services PMI for Jan. 9:45amET.
• Thurs Jan 26 – US new home sales for Dec. 10amET.
• Thurs Jan 26 – European trading updates: Anglo American, Diageo, JCDecaux, LVMH, Sage
Group
• Thurs Jan 26 – earnings before the open: ADS, BHI, BIIB, BMS, BMY, BX, CAT, CELG, CMCSA,
DGX, DOW, F, LEA, LUV, MJN, OSK, PHM, PX, RCI, RTN, SHW, Sky, STM, SWK, TROW, Unilever
• Thurs Jan 26 – earnings after the close: AJG, BCR, FLEX, GOOG, INTC, JNPR, KLAC, MSFT,
MXIM, PFPT, SBUX, VMW
• Fri Jan 27 – China New Year holiday. Mainland markets closed Fri 1/27-Thurs 2/2.
• Fri Jan 27 – US Q4 GDP. 8:30amET.
• Fri Jan 27 – US durable goods for Dec. 8:30amET.
• Fri Jan 27 – US Michigan Confidence for Jan. 10amET.
• Fri Jan 27 – earnings before the open: APD, BT, CL, CVX, HON, UBS
• Mon Jan 30 – US personal income/spending for Dec. 8:30amET.
• Mon Jan 30 – US PCE for Dec. 8:30amET.
• Mon Jan 30 – US pending home sales for Dec. 10amET.
• Mon Jan 30 – earnings before the open: BAH, EPD
• Mon Jan 30 – earnings after the close: CR, GGG, IDTI, IEX, LEG, PFG, RGA
• Tues Jan 31 – BOJ policy decision (Mon night/Tues morning)
• Tues Jan 31 – US employment cost index (ECI) for Q4. 8:30amET.
• Tues Jan 31 – US CoreLogic home prices for Nov. 9amET.
• Tues Jan 31 – Chicago PMI for Jan. 9:45amET.
• Tues Jan 31 – US consumer confidence for Jan. 10amET.
• Tues Jan 31 – earnings before the open: ABC, ALLY, COH, HOG, LLY, MA, NDAQ, NUE, PFE,
SMG, SPG, TMO, UA, UPS, VLO, WDR, XOM, XRX, ZBH
• Tues Jan 31 – earnings after the close: AAPL, APC, BDN, CB, CHRW, EQR, MANH, PLT, X
• Wed Feb 1 – China NBS manufacturing/non-manufacturing PMIs (Tues night/Wed morning)
• Wed Feb 1 – US ADP employment report for Jan. 8:15amET.
• Wed Feb 1 – Markit manufacturing PMI for Jan. 9:45amET.
• Wed Feb 1 – US manufacturing ISM for Jan. 10amET.
• Wed Feb 1 – US construction spending for Dec. 10amET.
• Wed Feb 1 – US auto sales for Jan.
• Wed Feb 1 – FOMC decision. 2pmET.
• Wed Feb 1 – earnings before the open: ADP, ANTM, MO, MTH, Roche, Siemens
• Wed Feb 1 – earnings after the close: ALL, CBL, CDNS, CRUS, DOX, LNC, LSTR, MAA, MET, TSCO
• Thurs Feb 2 – ECB economic bulletin. 4amET.
• Thurs Feb 2 – BOE policy decision. 7amET.
• Thurs Feb 2 – US non-farm productivity and unit labor costs for Q4. 8:30amET.
• Thurs Feb 2 – European trading updates: Aberdeen Asset Mgmt., CME, Daimler, Deutsche Bank, EL, IP, MMC, MRK, Nokia, PH, R, Vodafone, WFT, XYL
• Thurs Feb 2 – earnings after the close: AIV, CCK, CMG, DATA, FEYE, GGP, GPRO, HIG, KIM, VR
• Fri Feb 3 – China mainland markets re-open after being shut for the New Year holiday
• Fri Feb 3 – China Caixin manufacturing PMI (Thurs night/Fri morning)
• Fri Feb 3 – US jobs report for Jan. 8:30amET.
• Fri Feb 3 – US Markit services PMI for Jan. 9:45amET.
• Fri Feb 3 – US non-manufacturing ISM for Jan. 10amET.
• Fri Feb 3 – US factory orders for Dec. 10amET.
• Fri Feb 3 – US durable goods for Dec. 10amET.
• Fri Feb 3 – earnings before the open: APO, ATHN, CLX, HSY, PSX, WY
• Mon Feb 6 – earnings before the open: AINV, CBOE, HAS
• Mon Feb 6 – earnings after the close: MAC
• Tues Feb 7 – China Caixin services PMI (Mon night/Tues morning).
• Tues Feb 7 – US trade balance for Dec. 8:30amET.
• Tues Feb 7 – US JOLTs report for Dec. 10amET.
• Tues Feb 7 – US consumer credit for Dec. 3pmET.
• Wed Feb 8 – ECB’s Draghi speaks in Dutch parliament
• Wed Feb 8 – earnings after the close: PRU
• Thurs Feb 9 – US wholesale inventories/trade sales for Dec. 10amET.
• Fri Feb 10 – US import price index for Jan. 8:30amET.
• Fri Feb 10 – US Michigan Confidence for Feb. 10amET.
• Tues Feb 14 – US PPI for Jan. 8:30amET.
• Wed Feb 15 – US Empire Manufacturing for Feb. 8:30amET.
• Wed Feb 15 – US CPI for Jan. 8:30amET.
• Wed Feb 15 – US retail sales for Jan. 8:30amET.
• Wed Feb 15 – US industrial production for Jan. 9:15amET.
• Wed Feb 15 – US NAHB housing market index for Feb. 10amET.
• Thurs Feb 16 – ECB meeting minutes
• Thurs Feb 16 – US housing starts/building permits for Jan. 8:30amET.
• Thurs Feb 16 – US Philadelphia Fed for Feb. 8:30amET.
• Tues Feb 21 – US flash manufacturing PMI for Feb. 9:45amET.
• Wed Feb 22 – US existing home sales for Jan. 10amET.
• Wed Feb 22 – FOMC minutes from 2/1 meeting. 2pmET.
• Thurs Feb 23 – US home price purchase index for Q4. 9amET.
• Thurs Feb 23 – US flash services PMI for Feb. 9:45amET.
• Fri Feb 24 – US new home sales for Jan. 10amET.
• Fri Feb 24 – US Michigan sentiment for Feb. 10amET.
submitted by SIThereAndThere to wallstreetbets [link] [comments]

How they abused GreedisGood to control at least 80% of the cryptocurrency industry - Part 1.

Before we begin, I would like to mention that they'll attempt to downvote the thread to death. When someone speaks the truth, attempting to cite that they are fraudulent, they quickly deploy their bought shill accounts operated by monkeys working out of an office located somewhere in the South East Asian jungle.
I'm not allowed as per the Reddit regulations, as well as the moderators on the sub, to provide images or information that could be harmful, illegal or personal. So in this thread I will use evidence that is publicly available, you can then decide whether you find the information provided legitimate or not.
First: - Monaco (CEO was previously involved with Ensogo) 'On June 21, 2016, Ensogo announced that it will shut down all South East Asia operation (including Hong Kong) and its CEO Kris Marszalek has resigned; it also requests ASX to suspend shares trading. The unprecedented shutdown affected operations in several countries; workers in Singapore found the office was closed, Hong Kong sellers call for police investigation of fraud and certain stores in Thailand rejecting deals purchased by consumers, though the Consumer Protection Board is expected to summon Ensogo executives for remedial issues.
Second: Monaco competition and partnership with Binance. Binance states it's a strategical cooperation. With a simple understanding about business and partnerships, you'll understand that Binance doesn't have much to benefit from this, Monaco also claim to have given away a 'Lamborghini' valued over $300k. https://support.binance.com/hc/en-us/articles/115003638991
Third: Quoinex aka Qryptos aka Liquid competition together with Monaco. https://twitter.com/quoine_sg/status/942955940881489920?lang=en
Will put this post short and rephrase it better when I have time.
Skrill is nowadays a payment platform for casinos and poker players mainly, not surprised to see that they have very common interests as Dragon Coin, sponsoring sports teams etc. Skrill also decided to exit from the London Stock Exchange similarly as to Ensogo. http://www.londonstockexchange.com/exchange/news/market-news/market-news-detail/othe13473889.html
That's what I can do for now, as I am not permitted to post things that are private, illegal or provides personal information that hasn't already been publicized. So in the mean time, my suggestion is stay away from the tokens and companies mentioned above. But you do as you please with the information provided :-)
submitted by ChopSueyx to CryptoCurrency [link] [comments]

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